As we approach the new year, that's usually a good time to evaluate life situations and projects that are going on.
For me, it's pretty simple. We have a child on the way, so much of my energy is going to go towards preparing for that child and the challenge that it will bring. In terms of my online activities, it'll still be simple.
This blog will remain largely unchanged. I've used it mostly to provide picks for the NFL season (and will continue to do so until the season ends), but occasionally I've sprinkled in other topics as well. I have a few ideas floating around in my head that I want to write about, but haven't exactly found a good way to convey those various ideas.
Yes, one of them involves the shooting of elementary kids.
I've tried to think of ways to present my ideas, whether it be in this blog or whether it be something I've put up via my YouTube channel, which has been a small endeavor to this point. Most of the content revolves around Payton, our animals, and my gameplay videos of Minecraft, which has become a favorite hobby of mine.
Yes, I have a channel on YouTube. I don't upload a ton, but I have a decent number of videos up for viewing. The gameplay stuff is still in its infancy, but I've enjoyed it thus far and hope to expand the scope of it to include my console games, not just PC. That said, the tool required to record console gaming isn't terribly expensive, but isn't a priority right now, as is purchasing a better microphone.
As of right now, I don't have any intention of doing a Christmas list like I've done in years past. Simply put, I don't know that I can come up with anything more elaborate than the things I've posted over the last several years and don't want to cheapen the entry by trying to get too cute with it. That thought could change of course, but seeing as it's the 21st, I don't see myself creating time before Christmas. The same could be said about my New Year's Resolution post that I typically do.
In short, the first few months of the new year are going to be hectic and filled with a lot of tasks as we prepare to bring a new life into this world. There are things to plan for, things to buy, and I don't want to spend a ton of time on wasted energy and projects. It's partially why I've kept my gaming time to a minimum. I'm not 18 anymore.
In the meantime, thank goodness the world hasn't ended like so many were worried it was going to, so I hope everyone has a safe and happy holiday season.
Friday, December 21, 2012
Thursday, December 13, 2012
The Sports Mixer - Week 15 picks
The NFL season is coming down the home stretch and several teams still have a chance at a playoff berth, even if the odds are slim. The AFC in particular is intriguing as all four teams from the AFC North are still alive for a berth, although only two will likely make the playoffs.
Last week was a disaster for picks due to several upsets. The Panthers upended the Falcons, and while it was an upset, it was a game you could see coming for a while. The Falcons haven't been very dominant within their division and really should've lost the first meeting as well. Meanwhile, the Bears were falling flat agains the Vikings, the Bengals had several opportunities to put their game with the Cowboys away, the Steelers lost to a Chargers team that had been MIA for weeks, and the Bucs gave up a game-winning touchdown to the Eagles with no time left on the clock.
Speaking of the Steelers and Bengals, if either team misses the playoffs, both will look at week 14 as the reason. The Steelers were at home but were rolled by the Chargers, who had previously last shown signs of offensive life back when they led the Broncos 24-0 at halftime before imploding. The Bengals had chance after chance to put away the Cowboys, but between giving up sacks, interceptions, and dropped passes, they squandered a golden opportunity to put themselves in prime position to make the playoffs. Instead, all these loses keep hope alive for teams like the Jets and Browns, of which I don't think anyone would argue the Browns are the better team at this point.
In any case, the final push for the playoffs starts this week and nothing is guaranteed, especially after the beatdown the Texans received from the Patriots last week. Some teams have locked up a playoff spot, but seeding has to be settled still and the wild card spots in both conferences are wide open.
Hopefully this week shakes out better than last week. It was rough.
Thursday
Cincinnati (7-6) at Philadelphia (4-9) - 8:20pm NFL Network
The Bengals missed out on a big chance to strenghten their playoff positioning, but for some reason struggled against a Cowboys team that wasn't exactly playing inspired football until the fourth quarter. AJ Green had a couple of drops, Andy Dalton threw a bad interception and took a sack late that helped set up a scoring drive for the Cowboys, and what happened to the running game? The Bengals still have a shot at the playoffs, but they need to win and it starts tonight.
The Eagles needed that win, but let's be honest, it wasn't a sparkling performance to say the least. Andy Reid, unimpressed with Bryce Brown, dialed up pass after pass (granted, Brown's penchant for fumbling at the worst possible time could have something to do with it) and Nick Foles did his best against a poor pass defense. Give him credit for putting up big numbers, but more importantly throwing a winning touchdown pass with no time left. Unfortunately for the Eagles, the Bengals defense is better than the Buccaneers.
Pick: Bengals 24, Eagles 13
Sunday
NY Giants (8-5) at Atlanta (11-2) - 1pm FOX
This was a tough game to pick. I like the Giants just because late in the season they always seem to ratchet the intensity up and pick up their play. They also seem to thrive on the road, although that game in Cincinnati would have you fooled. Last week they got a much-needed win, especially with the Redskins and Cowboys nipping at their heels. Eli Manning and company know what the stakes are if they win, but also if they lose.
The Falcons, they just underwhelm me. They've won 11 games, but several have required comebacks or have required they hold off a comeback. They easily could be 9-4 or 8-5, but give them credit where credit is due: they don't stop playing. I thought about giving them the edge with them being at home, but while Julio Jones and Roddy White are terrific receivers, nothing else really scares me about this team.
Pick: Giants 27, Falcons 26
Minnesota (7-6) at St. Louis (6-6-1) - 1pm FOX
If the Vikings make the playoffs, which is a possibility at this point, it will solely be on the shoulders of Percy Harvin and Adrian Peterson, but mostly Peterson. You wouldn't know this guy blew out his knee and missed all of last season by the way he's played thus far, and it isn't out of the question him having another big game this week against the Rams. He's simply been on a mission. He simply refused to go down against the Bears, who had no answer for him. Unfortunately, his quarterback has regressed and looks completely lost without Harvin on the field, who's been hurt.
The Rams just won't go away. They still have an outside shot at a playoff berth, but winning out is going to be required to do so. The offense won't wow you, but it has done enough in a couple games to get the win when least expected, especially against the 49ers. I don't think there will be a ton of offense in this game, but the Rams are at home and that should help.
Pick: Rams 23, Vikings 20
Jacksonville (2-11) at Miami (5-8) - 1pm CBS
The Jaguars can't catch a break. They had every opportunity to win their game against the Jets, but couldn't make the plays when they needed to and lost on a miscommunication between quarterback and receiver leading to Chad Henne's final pass being picked off. They hang around, but can't get over the hump. Except when they get blown out. I think they'll fight to the end in this game, but I can't see them pulling a win out.
The Dolphins are a team experiencing growing pains. They've looked promising at times, but at other times, they've looked absolutely awful on both sides of the ball. Ryan Tannehill has been the epitome of this issue, playing great games at one point, but also giving away games with rookie mistakes. His future looks bright, but they need to solidify the roster around him before they can make serious noise in their division. For one more week they'll keep their playoff hopes alive though.
Pick: Dolphins 20, Jaguars 15
Tampa Bay (6-7) at New Orleans (5-8) - 1pm FOX
The Bucs had a chance to solidify their playoff hopes, then promptly squandered it by allowing Nick Foles to throw all over their secondary. Now they have to travel to play the Saints, who are finally seeing the bounty-gate scandal get lifted from their season. It will take a much better performance this week to go into New Orleans and win against an angry Saints team.
Why are they angry? They scored 27 points and were blown out by the Giants. Drew Brees has been throwing interceptions left and right, but what choice does have when the defense is as bad as its been? It's sad to think the Saints could score 30 and lose regularly, but that's what they're facing each and every week. Luckily for Brees, they get to face the worst secondary in football.
Pick: Saints 37, Buccaneers 31
Denver (10-3) at Baltimore (9-4) - 1pm CBS
It wasn't long ago when many figured the Texans were the number one seed and everyone else could fight for the rest of the playoff spots. The Texans losing last week opened the door not just for the Patriots, but for the Broncos. There isn't a team hotter than the Broncos, but they will be the first to tell you they need to get better. Their red zone offense last week wasn't pretty and will have to get better against the Ravens.
The Ravens are close to spiraling out of control. The loss to the Redskins was hard to fathom, especially since they seemed to be controlling the game in the first half. Joe Flacco showed how inconsistent he is though. Brilliant in the first half, miserable in the second, and if it weren't for the Steelers and Bengals stumbling, we'd be talking about them losing the division more. Now they have to fight just to hold onto the fourth seed.
Pick: Broncos 27, Ravens 24
Indianapolis (9-4) at Houston (11-2) - 1pm CBS
The Colts are the story of the year. They have found way after way to win, and while it's easy to say it's because of their quarterback, Andrew Luck's numbers aren't that great. He's played like a rookie. The difference is he makes his mistakes early, then makes the winning play later on. This would be a tremendous game for them to win, but the Texans are going to be mad and will want to prove a point going forward.
The loss to the Patriots stung. There's no other way to look at it. Now they have to face their closest challenger twice in the final three weeks. They are going to want to send the Colts a message and it isn't going to be pleasant. It's almost the time for the Colts to return to the top, but not quite yet.
Pick: Texans 31, Colts 23
Seattle (8-5) at Buffalo (5-8) - 4:05pm FOX
The Seahawks won on the road two weeks ago, then completely dismantled a hapless Cardinals team last week. They get to play the Bills, who suddenly can't score a point when they need to. Needless to say, it could be a long day in Buffalo unless Ryan Fitzpatrick pulls one of those franchise quarterback performances out of his bag of tricks that he's occasionally known for.
Pick: Seahawks 20, Bills 12
Detroit (4-9) at Arizona (4-9) - 4:05pm FOX
The Lions were the talk of the NFL last year with all their come-from-behind wins. Now they can't hold a lead to save their season. Luckily, they play the Cardinals this week who could put an equipment manager at quarterback and not look any worse than have. Remember when they were 4-0? No one else does either.
Pick: Lions 34, Cardinals 6
Carolina (4-9) at San Diego (5-8) - 4:05pm FOX
The Panthers finally saw the Cam Newton from a year ago and look what happened? They rolled the Falcons and finally had a reason to feel good about themselves. That secondary is still a mess though. It might need an exorcism. The Chargers finally won a game and did so in convincing fashion. It won't save Norv Turner his job, but at least he continues to get wins in December. Well, except against the Panthers.
Pick: Panthers 28, Chargers 24
Pittsburgh (7-6) at Dallas (7-6) - 4:25pm FOX
I bet when the schedule makers made this season's schedule out, they saw this as a matchup between two of the best in the AFC and NFC. It'll still be good with both teams fighting for a playoff spot, but some of the luster was lost when the Cowboys decided to play lousy for a few weeks, the Steelers couldn't hang on to the football, and the football gods laughed. The Steelers just don't seem the same as they usually do and the Cowboys have been pulling wins out of thin air. I had a hard time with this one, but something is just off with the Steelers.
Pick: Cowboys 19, Steelers 16
Kansas City (2-11) at Oakland (3-10) - 4:25pm CBS
If the Raiders can't beat the Chiefs, then the whole team should just be thrown off the field and forfeit the rest of the season and start from scratch next season. The Chiefs had a feel-good win after the tragedy that struck, then returned to previous form against the Browns. Brady Quinn is not the answer and Jamaal Charles deserves better. If the Raiders struggle, they should just give Terrelle Pryor a chance and see what happens. It can't possibly be much worse than we've seen.
Pick: Raiders 24, Chiefs 13
San Francisco (9-3-1) at New England (10-3) - 8:20pm NBC
After what I saw the Patriots do to the Texans at home and how the 49ers have looked at times this season, it's hard for me to go against the Patriots. Sure, the 49ers have been dominant at times, especially against upper echelon opponents, but this game has disaster written all over it. Colin Kaepernick's first time against a Bill Belichick defense? That usually isn't a good thing and the Patriots offense is cruising along. The Patriots also want that number one seed badly.
Pick: Patriots 34, 49ers 20
Monday
NY Jets (6-7) at Tennessee (4-9) - 8:30pm ESPN
Ladies and gentlemen, your lowest rated Monday Night game of the year! The Jets stink, the Titans can't play defense, but at least Jake Locker looks all right when he isn't throwing pick-six's from his two yard line. I can't even talk about the Jets though. I don't even know how they scored 17 points last week.
Pick: Titans 13, Jets 6
Browns Game
Washington (7-6) at Cleveland (5-8) - 1pm FOX
Consider this for a moment: two teams who were bad last year meeting up with rookie quarterbacks, both fighting for a playoff spot. I know, the Browns chances are slim at 5-8, but they're in the discussion. Did anyone think this possible when they saw the schedule? Sure, RGIII was going to make his first visit to Cleveland, but did anyone think there'd be a more compelling storyline?
The Browns have won three straight and five of eight. The Redskins have also been on a roll and are one game behind the Giants for the division lead. Brandon Weeden hasn't been spectacular all the time, but he's made plays when needed and has cut back on the bad decisions. Trent Richardson hasn't run for a ton of yards, but he's scored 9 rushing touchdowns. Alfred Morris has been another gem found in the later rounds by Mike Shanahan.
In other words, there's something on the line for both teams and it isn't just a roster spot for next season. This is a good test for both the Browns defense and RGIII, who's thrived against lesser defenses of late. If he gets out and makes plays with his feet, it could be a long day for the Browns. If they can contain him and Morris, the Redskins are in trouble. I think the Browns can do it.
Pick: Browns 27, Redskins 23
Last: 10-6
Overall: 113-43-1
Last week was a disaster for picks due to several upsets. The Panthers upended the Falcons, and while it was an upset, it was a game you could see coming for a while. The Falcons haven't been very dominant within their division and really should've lost the first meeting as well. Meanwhile, the Bears were falling flat agains the Vikings, the Bengals had several opportunities to put their game with the Cowboys away, the Steelers lost to a Chargers team that had been MIA for weeks, and the Bucs gave up a game-winning touchdown to the Eagles with no time left on the clock.
Speaking of the Steelers and Bengals, if either team misses the playoffs, both will look at week 14 as the reason. The Steelers were at home but were rolled by the Chargers, who had previously last shown signs of offensive life back when they led the Broncos 24-0 at halftime before imploding. The Bengals had chance after chance to put away the Cowboys, but between giving up sacks, interceptions, and dropped passes, they squandered a golden opportunity to put themselves in prime position to make the playoffs. Instead, all these loses keep hope alive for teams like the Jets and Browns, of which I don't think anyone would argue the Browns are the better team at this point.
In any case, the final push for the playoffs starts this week and nothing is guaranteed, especially after the beatdown the Texans received from the Patriots last week. Some teams have locked up a playoff spot, but seeding has to be settled still and the wild card spots in both conferences are wide open.
Hopefully this week shakes out better than last week. It was rough.
Thursday
Cincinnati (7-6) at Philadelphia (4-9) - 8:20pm NFL Network
The Bengals missed out on a big chance to strenghten their playoff positioning, but for some reason struggled against a Cowboys team that wasn't exactly playing inspired football until the fourth quarter. AJ Green had a couple of drops, Andy Dalton threw a bad interception and took a sack late that helped set up a scoring drive for the Cowboys, and what happened to the running game? The Bengals still have a shot at the playoffs, but they need to win and it starts tonight.
The Eagles needed that win, but let's be honest, it wasn't a sparkling performance to say the least. Andy Reid, unimpressed with Bryce Brown, dialed up pass after pass (granted, Brown's penchant for fumbling at the worst possible time could have something to do with it) and Nick Foles did his best against a poor pass defense. Give him credit for putting up big numbers, but more importantly throwing a winning touchdown pass with no time left. Unfortunately for the Eagles, the Bengals defense is better than the Buccaneers.
Pick: Bengals 24, Eagles 13
Sunday
NY Giants (8-5) at Atlanta (11-2) - 1pm FOX
This was a tough game to pick. I like the Giants just because late in the season they always seem to ratchet the intensity up and pick up their play. They also seem to thrive on the road, although that game in Cincinnati would have you fooled. Last week they got a much-needed win, especially with the Redskins and Cowboys nipping at their heels. Eli Manning and company know what the stakes are if they win, but also if they lose.
The Falcons, they just underwhelm me. They've won 11 games, but several have required comebacks or have required they hold off a comeback. They easily could be 9-4 or 8-5, but give them credit where credit is due: they don't stop playing. I thought about giving them the edge with them being at home, but while Julio Jones and Roddy White are terrific receivers, nothing else really scares me about this team.
Pick: Giants 27, Falcons 26
Minnesota (7-6) at St. Louis (6-6-1) - 1pm FOX
If the Vikings make the playoffs, which is a possibility at this point, it will solely be on the shoulders of Percy Harvin and Adrian Peterson, but mostly Peterson. You wouldn't know this guy blew out his knee and missed all of last season by the way he's played thus far, and it isn't out of the question him having another big game this week against the Rams. He's simply been on a mission. He simply refused to go down against the Bears, who had no answer for him. Unfortunately, his quarterback has regressed and looks completely lost without Harvin on the field, who's been hurt.
The Rams just won't go away. They still have an outside shot at a playoff berth, but winning out is going to be required to do so. The offense won't wow you, but it has done enough in a couple games to get the win when least expected, especially against the 49ers. I don't think there will be a ton of offense in this game, but the Rams are at home and that should help.
Pick: Rams 23, Vikings 20
Jacksonville (2-11) at Miami (5-8) - 1pm CBS
The Jaguars can't catch a break. They had every opportunity to win their game against the Jets, but couldn't make the plays when they needed to and lost on a miscommunication between quarterback and receiver leading to Chad Henne's final pass being picked off. They hang around, but can't get over the hump. Except when they get blown out. I think they'll fight to the end in this game, but I can't see them pulling a win out.
The Dolphins are a team experiencing growing pains. They've looked promising at times, but at other times, they've looked absolutely awful on both sides of the ball. Ryan Tannehill has been the epitome of this issue, playing great games at one point, but also giving away games with rookie mistakes. His future looks bright, but they need to solidify the roster around him before they can make serious noise in their division. For one more week they'll keep their playoff hopes alive though.
Pick: Dolphins 20, Jaguars 15
Tampa Bay (6-7) at New Orleans (5-8) - 1pm FOX
The Bucs had a chance to solidify their playoff hopes, then promptly squandered it by allowing Nick Foles to throw all over their secondary. Now they have to travel to play the Saints, who are finally seeing the bounty-gate scandal get lifted from their season. It will take a much better performance this week to go into New Orleans and win against an angry Saints team.
Why are they angry? They scored 27 points and were blown out by the Giants. Drew Brees has been throwing interceptions left and right, but what choice does have when the defense is as bad as its been? It's sad to think the Saints could score 30 and lose regularly, but that's what they're facing each and every week. Luckily for Brees, they get to face the worst secondary in football.
Pick: Saints 37, Buccaneers 31
Denver (10-3) at Baltimore (9-4) - 1pm CBS
It wasn't long ago when many figured the Texans were the number one seed and everyone else could fight for the rest of the playoff spots. The Texans losing last week opened the door not just for the Patriots, but for the Broncos. There isn't a team hotter than the Broncos, but they will be the first to tell you they need to get better. Their red zone offense last week wasn't pretty and will have to get better against the Ravens.
The Ravens are close to spiraling out of control. The loss to the Redskins was hard to fathom, especially since they seemed to be controlling the game in the first half. Joe Flacco showed how inconsistent he is though. Brilliant in the first half, miserable in the second, and if it weren't for the Steelers and Bengals stumbling, we'd be talking about them losing the division more. Now they have to fight just to hold onto the fourth seed.
Pick: Broncos 27, Ravens 24
Indianapolis (9-4) at Houston (11-2) - 1pm CBS
The Colts are the story of the year. They have found way after way to win, and while it's easy to say it's because of their quarterback, Andrew Luck's numbers aren't that great. He's played like a rookie. The difference is he makes his mistakes early, then makes the winning play later on. This would be a tremendous game for them to win, but the Texans are going to be mad and will want to prove a point going forward.
The loss to the Patriots stung. There's no other way to look at it. Now they have to face their closest challenger twice in the final three weeks. They are going to want to send the Colts a message and it isn't going to be pleasant. It's almost the time for the Colts to return to the top, but not quite yet.
Pick: Texans 31, Colts 23
Seattle (8-5) at Buffalo (5-8) - 4:05pm FOX
The Seahawks won on the road two weeks ago, then completely dismantled a hapless Cardinals team last week. They get to play the Bills, who suddenly can't score a point when they need to. Needless to say, it could be a long day in Buffalo unless Ryan Fitzpatrick pulls one of those franchise quarterback performances out of his bag of tricks that he's occasionally known for.
Pick: Seahawks 20, Bills 12
Detroit (4-9) at Arizona (4-9) - 4:05pm FOX
The Lions were the talk of the NFL last year with all their come-from-behind wins. Now they can't hold a lead to save their season. Luckily, they play the Cardinals this week who could put an equipment manager at quarterback and not look any worse than have. Remember when they were 4-0? No one else does either.
Pick: Lions 34, Cardinals 6
Carolina (4-9) at San Diego (5-8) - 4:05pm FOX
The Panthers finally saw the Cam Newton from a year ago and look what happened? They rolled the Falcons and finally had a reason to feel good about themselves. That secondary is still a mess though. It might need an exorcism. The Chargers finally won a game and did so in convincing fashion. It won't save Norv Turner his job, but at least he continues to get wins in December. Well, except against the Panthers.
Pick: Panthers 28, Chargers 24
Pittsburgh (7-6) at Dallas (7-6) - 4:25pm FOX
I bet when the schedule makers made this season's schedule out, they saw this as a matchup between two of the best in the AFC and NFC. It'll still be good with both teams fighting for a playoff spot, but some of the luster was lost when the Cowboys decided to play lousy for a few weeks, the Steelers couldn't hang on to the football, and the football gods laughed. The Steelers just don't seem the same as they usually do and the Cowboys have been pulling wins out of thin air. I had a hard time with this one, but something is just off with the Steelers.
Pick: Cowboys 19, Steelers 16
Kansas City (2-11) at Oakland (3-10) - 4:25pm CBS
If the Raiders can't beat the Chiefs, then the whole team should just be thrown off the field and forfeit the rest of the season and start from scratch next season. The Chiefs had a feel-good win after the tragedy that struck, then returned to previous form against the Browns. Brady Quinn is not the answer and Jamaal Charles deserves better. If the Raiders struggle, they should just give Terrelle Pryor a chance and see what happens. It can't possibly be much worse than we've seen.
Pick: Raiders 24, Chiefs 13
San Francisco (9-3-1) at New England (10-3) - 8:20pm NBC
After what I saw the Patriots do to the Texans at home and how the 49ers have looked at times this season, it's hard for me to go against the Patriots. Sure, the 49ers have been dominant at times, especially against upper echelon opponents, but this game has disaster written all over it. Colin Kaepernick's first time against a Bill Belichick defense? That usually isn't a good thing and the Patriots offense is cruising along. The Patriots also want that number one seed badly.
Pick: Patriots 34, 49ers 20
Monday
NY Jets (6-7) at Tennessee (4-9) - 8:30pm ESPN
Ladies and gentlemen, your lowest rated Monday Night game of the year! The Jets stink, the Titans can't play defense, but at least Jake Locker looks all right when he isn't throwing pick-six's from his two yard line. I can't even talk about the Jets though. I don't even know how they scored 17 points last week.
Pick: Titans 13, Jets 6
Browns Game
Washington (7-6) at Cleveland (5-8) - 1pm FOX
Consider this for a moment: two teams who were bad last year meeting up with rookie quarterbacks, both fighting for a playoff spot. I know, the Browns chances are slim at 5-8, but they're in the discussion. Did anyone think this possible when they saw the schedule? Sure, RGIII was going to make his first visit to Cleveland, but did anyone think there'd be a more compelling storyline?
The Browns have won three straight and five of eight. The Redskins have also been on a roll and are one game behind the Giants for the division lead. Brandon Weeden hasn't been spectacular all the time, but he's made plays when needed and has cut back on the bad decisions. Trent Richardson hasn't run for a ton of yards, but he's scored 9 rushing touchdowns. Alfred Morris has been another gem found in the later rounds by Mike Shanahan.
In other words, there's something on the line for both teams and it isn't just a roster spot for next season. This is a good test for both the Browns defense and RGIII, who's thrived against lesser defenses of late. If he gets out and makes plays with his feet, it could be a long day for the Browns. If they can contain him and Morris, the Redskins are in trouble. I think the Browns can do it.
Pick: Browns 27, Redskins 23
Last: 10-6
Overall: 113-43-1
Wednesday, December 12, 2012
The Sports Mixer - After further review
Each week the Sports Mixer takes a look back at the previous Browns game, this time a look at the Browns 30-7 victory over the Kansas City Chiefs, and discusses what was learned. This intro is never the same, is it?
Jamaal Charles came to play, unfortunately, the rest of the Chiefs took Sunday off. He ripped off an 80-yard touchdown run on the first place from scrimmage, ultimately compiling 165 yards on 18 carries. That 9.1 average is gaudy, and averaging 5 ypc on his other 17 runs is still high, but considering what happened on that first play, the defense did a nice job clamping down on Charles and hitting him hard every time.
Trent Richardson appears to be hurt, but continues to soldier on and has picked up 9 touchdowns for his pain. Montario Hardesty has done a nice job filling in for Richardson from series to series, picking up 52 yards on 10 carries in this game. He could've had a touchdown, but he fumbled at the goal line, which prompted Pat Shurmer to reinsert Richardson to pick up the touchdown. Hardesty was upset, but he had only himself to blame. His fumbling problems in the preseason landed him third on the depth chart early on. That said, he doesn't waste any time in the backfield. He gets the ball, finds the hole, and runs through it quickly.
Josh Gordon continues to impress, not just with his hands, but with how much better his routes have gotten and how much better he sheds defensive backs at the line of scrimmage. Simply put, he's developing into a top-tier wide receiver at an alarming rate and it's not out of the question that he could reach 1,000 yards receiving. The other thing is he had a drop early in a drive that essentially helped stall it out on a slant. It was a good pass, he just dropped it. He made amends by making the grab on the exact same type of route later on to pick up a quick first down. Is he immune from drops? No, but he makes up for it and doesn't seem to become infected with the dropsies that his counterpart has struggled with.
Speaking of Greg Little, he's really come on strong of late. Since the bye week, he's had maybe on drop, made several tough grabs, and has been superb blocking downfield for other receivers and running backs when he's not getting the ball. Toss in a toss play where he lined up as the running back, and it seems like the Browns and Little are finally figuring out how to put it all together. He's been a different player with the emergence of Gordon, and that's a very good thing.
The defensive line has been impressive, this despite getting gashed at times by Charles. Fact is, Charles has gashed a lot of teams but the Browns made the proper adjustment and limited the damage after the first possession. Then they went after Brady Quinn after the Browns took command of the game in the second half, leading to five sacks.
The secondary looks so much better with Joe Haden out there, but it helps having better play from the defensive line and linebackers. It's allowed Sheldon Brown, Buster Skrine, and Dmitri Patterson to play in more comfortable roles. Quinn isn't a very good quarterback, but they didn't allow him to gain much confidence with his passes.
Travis Benjamin may have played his way into lead returner with his 93 yard return on what was supposed to be a punt block play. In the open field, you can see how challenging it is to bring him down. He blew past the first wave of defenders, then essentially ran past everyone, including his escort of blockers that was initially ahead of him. The punter saw Josh Cribbs coming and said no thanks. From there, Benjamin ran the Browns into the lead and possibly showed Cribbs the door after this season.
The offensive line doesn't do a great job of run blocking, but the improvement in the pass game is clear. Sure, Brandon Weeden gets a number of passes knocked down, but some of that is just because the defense isn't getting to Weeden and is jumping up to block passes. Steve Tasker mentioned on the TV broadcast that Weeden could benefit from a pump fake, a move he tried later in the game. It would have been successful if the defender hadn't managed to grab a hold of Weeden's jersey on the way by, preventing Weeden from putting enough on the pass to score an easy touchdown. Overall though, the line has played well.
Weeden has taken his lumps this season, but he's passed for over 3,000 in his rookie season, won five games, hasn't sustained any major injuries, and has managed to lead sustained drives at critical points the last couple of weeks. You'd like to see the batted passes drop and a little better accuracy, but overall, he's done well enough to earn the starting nod next season in this corner.
Pat Shurmer has taken lumps for his decisions, but he's drastically improved over the last few weeks. Some will question his challenge on the Cribbs run, but this observer couldn't tell if the knee was down and Cribbs deserved at least a chance at that score. The timeout wasn't wasted in the long run as the Browns time management was the best it's been all season long. At one point, this corner had realized that it was late in the game and not once had the Browns used a timeout due to the playclock running down. The imagination on offense was a welcome sight as well as the Browns used the wildcat twice, a double-reverse with Benjamin, and Little out of the backfield for nice gains.
It isn't entirely out of the question for the Browns to run the table and finish 8-8, although it's highly unlikely given the level of competition they have coming up. That said, they're in the playoff hunt still and that's something we haven't been able to say in a few years now. The Redskins game may be the most winnable game on the schedule though, seeing as trips to Denver and Pittsburgh follow this final home game. We'll see how far this team has grown over the next three weeks, or if they falter, how far they still have to go.
Finally, the NFL is such an unpredictable league in that few probably saw the Falcons losing to the Panthers, the Steelers getting rolled by the previously lethargic Chargers, the Texans failing to show up against the Patriots, or the Bears getting run over by the Vikings. It was a tough week for picks but that's what makes football great; any team can win any day.
Jamaal Charles came to play, unfortunately, the rest of the Chiefs took Sunday off. He ripped off an 80-yard touchdown run on the first place from scrimmage, ultimately compiling 165 yards on 18 carries. That 9.1 average is gaudy, and averaging 5 ypc on his other 17 runs is still high, but considering what happened on that first play, the defense did a nice job clamping down on Charles and hitting him hard every time.
Trent Richardson appears to be hurt, but continues to soldier on and has picked up 9 touchdowns for his pain. Montario Hardesty has done a nice job filling in for Richardson from series to series, picking up 52 yards on 10 carries in this game. He could've had a touchdown, but he fumbled at the goal line, which prompted Pat Shurmer to reinsert Richardson to pick up the touchdown. Hardesty was upset, but he had only himself to blame. His fumbling problems in the preseason landed him third on the depth chart early on. That said, he doesn't waste any time in the backfield. He gets the ball, finds the hole, and runs through it quickly.
Josh Gordon continues to impress, not just with his hands, but with how much better his routes have gotten and how much better he sheds defensive backs at the line of scrimmage. Simply put, he's developing into a top-tier wide receiver at an alarming rate and it's not out of the question that he could reach 1,000 yards receiving. The other thing is he had a drop early in a drive that essentially helped stall it out on a slant. It was a good pass, he just dropped it. He made amends by making the grab on the exact same type of route later on to pick up a quick first down. Is he immune from drops? No, but he makes up for it and doesn't seem to become infected with the dropsies that his counterpart has struggled with.
Speaking of Greg Little, he's really come on strong of late. Since the bye week, he's had maybe on drop, made several tough grabs, and has been superb blocking downfield for other receivers and running backs when he's not getting the ball. Toss in a toss play where he lined up as the running back, and it seems like the Browns and Little are finally figuring out how to put it all together. He's been a different player with the emergence of Gordon, and that's a very good thing.
The defensive line has been impressive, this despite getting gashed at times by Charles. Fact is, Charles has gashed a lot of teams but the Browns made the proper adjustment and limited the damage after the first possession. Then they went after Brady Quinn after the Browns took command of the game in the second half, leading to five sacks.
The secondary looks so much better with Joe Haden out there, but it helps having better play from the defensive line and linebackers. It's allowed Sheldon Brown, Buster Skrine, and Dmitri Patterson to play in more comfortable roles. Quinn isn't a very good quarterback, but they didn't allow him to gain much confidence with his passes.
Travis Benjamin may have played his way into lead returner with his 93 yard return on what was supposed to be a punt block play. In the open field, you can see how challenging it is to bring him down. He blew past the first wave of defenders, then essentially ran past everyone, including his escort of blockers that was initially ahead of him. The punter saw Josh Cribbs coming and said no thanks. From there, Benjamin ran the Browns into the lead and possibly showed Cribbs the door after this season.
The offensive line doesn't do a great job of run blocking, but the improvement in the pass game is clear. Sure, Brandon Weeden gets a number of passes knocked down, but some of that is just because the defense isn't getting to Weeden and is jumping up to block passes. Steve Tasker mentioned on the TV broadcast that Weeden could benefit from a pump fake, a move he tried later in the game. It would have been successful if the defender hadn't managed to grab a hold of Weeden's jersey on the way by, preventing Weeden from putting enough on the pass to score an easy touchdown. Overall though, the line has played well.
Weeden has taken his lumps this season, but he's passed for over 3,000 in his rookie season, won five games, hasn't sustained any major injuries, and has managed to lead sustained drives at critical points the last couple of weeks. You'd like to see the batted passes drop and a little better accuracy, but overall, he's done well enough to earn the starting nod next season in this corner.
Pat Shurmer has taken lumps for his decisions, but he's drastically improved over the last few weeks. Some will question his challenge on the Cribbs run, but this observer couldn't tell if the knee was down and Cribbs deserved at least a chance at that score. The timeout wasn't wasted in the long run as the Browns time management was the best it's been all season long. At one point, this corner had realized that it was late in the game and not once had the Browns used a timeout due to the playclock running down. The imagination on offense was a welcome sight as well as the Browns used the wildcat twice, a double-reverse with Benjamin, and Little out of the backfield for nice gains.
It isn't entirely out of the question for the Browns to run the table and finish 8-8, although it's highly unlikely given the level of competition they have coming up. That said, they're in the playoff hunt still and that's something we haven't been able to say in a few years now. The Redskins game may be the most winnable game on the schedule though, seeing as trips to Denver and Pittsburgh follow this final home game. We'll see how far this team has grown over the next three weeks, or if they falter, how far they still have to go.
Finally, the NFL is such an unpredictable league in that few probably saw the Falcons losing to the Panthers, the Steelers getting rolled by the previously lethargic Chargers, the Texans failing to show up against the Patriots, or the Bears getting run over by the Vikings. It was a tough week for picks but that's what makes football great; any team can win any day.
Thursday, December 6, 2012
The Sports Mixer - Week 14 time
Just when you think you have a team figured out, they go out and lay a giant egg at the worst time.
I'm looking squarely at the New York Giants, Baltimore Ravens, Chicago Bears, and San Francisco 49ers. For the Giants, it seems Eli Manning is enduring a rough stretch in his career. Discard his big game a week ago, and you see some unflattering numbers going back the last few weeks. Defensively, they've been sound, but the points aren't being scored.
The Ravens had a chance to secure a playoff spot against the Steelers and their third string quarterback, but instead watched Joe Flacco play as poorly as he's played at home ever and completely ignored Ray Rice again, who has to be wondering who he angered on the coaching staff.
The Bears decided that playing defense at the end of a game meant letting Russell Wilson drive down the field, then allow the same in overtime. The 49ers, well, there must be something about the Rams that gives them fits. The game almost ended in a tie, David Akers missed a second potential game-winning field goal, and the Rams were able to get close enough to earn a win.
This week I think the best game, and the toughest to pick, is the Texans-Patriots matchup on Monday Night Football. The Texans are looking to lock up home-field advantage, the Patriots want to secure at least the second seed or better. This could be a fun game. Other than that, there aren't many "I HAVE to watch that game" matchups.
So let's get to it.
Thursday
Denver (9-3) at Oakland (3-9) - 8:20 NFL Network
There were suspicions that the Broncos would be better this year. No one knew what to expect from Peyton Manning, but the thought was if he played anywhere near his previous level, the offense would be explosive. Well, 12 games in, the Broncos have scored 349 points, good for an average of 29 points per game. Manning seems to have complete control over the offense now, and with the defense gelling, this team has become very dangerous.
The Raiders, sadly, have not prospered since trading the farm for Carson Palmer. He hasn't been terrible, but he hasn't been great either. In any case, the real issue has been with the defense. Up until last week's game against the Browns, the Raiders had been historically bad on that side of the ball, and it could've been worse against the Browns if they hadn't picked off Brandon Weeden twice deep in their own end. I want, for a friend's sake, to find reason for the Raiders to win, but it's getting hard. Even if the Broncos rest a bunch of people since the division is already clinched, there's still the possibility of a first round bye on the line for the Broncos.
Pick: Broncos 23, Raiders 21
Sunday
St. Louis (5-6-1) at Buffalo (5-7) - 1pm FOX
The Rams refuse to go away. Every time I try to write them off, they pull off some kind of stunner like they did last week against the 49ers. They're playoff chances are slim at best, but they're still there. They aren't wowing anyone with their performances, but the defense has been gritty when it's needed to be and this week it will need to be so again against the occasionally explosive Bills. Can Sam Bradford and this overachieving bunch pull off another one?
The Bills finally put together a complete performance last week. Keep in mind it came against the Jaguars, but it was still the first time the defense and offense had shown up at the same time. The Bills are fighting injuries on the offensive side though and that could make things more challenging than they should be. I want to think the Bills are going to run away with this game, but I have a feeling it's not going to be that way.
Pick: Bills 20, Rams 17
Tennessee (4-8) at Indianapolis (8-4) - 1pm CBS
The Titans did not have a good time against the Texans last week. Jake Locker had a rough outing and the defense put them in a big hole right from the start. They were down 21-3 at the half and never seriously threatened to come back. This game shouldn't be as rough, but I don't think the Titans are going to go into Indy and find a win.
Andrew Luck and RGIII are pretty much going to take the Rookie of the Year race down to the very end. Of late, both have played spectacularly in leading their team to victories in recent weeks. Luck of course mastered the comeback from 12 down in the final five minutes against the Lions, throwing the winning touchdown pass as time expired and outrunning his receiver into the end zone to celebrate. The Colts now get to play at home, where Luck has been at his best. The Colts defense will give up points, but I expect the Colts to outscore the Titans.
Pick: Colts 27, Titans 23
Chicago (8-4) at Minnesota (6-6) - 1pm FOX
Okay Chicago, we're going to try this again. That game last week? Should've won that game, but you let the Seahawks hang around and now you're in a battle with the Packers for the division, a battle you wouldn't be in if you hadn't laid an egg last week or weeks back against the 49ers. Instead, you have to go on the road and win against your divisional rival Vikings, who are reeling as well. Oh, and do it without Brian Urlacher.
The Vikings can run the ball very well. Unfortunately, Christian Ponder is just not a very good quarterback right now. Percy Harvin being out hurts, but this team wasn't lighting up the passing game prior to that either. It does them no good for Adrian Peterson to run for 150+ yards and them not score or win. Of course, last time I counted them out, they surprised me by beating up the Lions.
Pick: Bears 24, Vikings 20
San Diego (4-8) at Pittsburgh (7-5) - 1pm CBS
Here are some facts for Chargers fans: the last time the Chiefs won, it was week 9 against the Chiefs. Before that, it was week 4 again against the Chiefs. After week 4, they were 3-1 and seemed to be in good shape with how the rest of the division was struggling. Then came the meltdown against the Saints, followed by the historic meltdown against the Broncos (up 24-0 at half, lose 35-24), then the season spiraled from there. It's almost a given that Norv Turner will be fired at the end of the season and a retool is going to begin.
The Steelers surprised a number of people by going into Baltimore and winning behing 37 year-old Charlie Batch. Now news has come out that the Steelers will be starting Ben Roethlisberger this week. This is a must-win for the Steelers. The wildcard scenarios are a mess with so many teams vying for the final two spots, one of them being their AFC North rival Bengals. Last week's performance could be a springboard for them and the Chargers are a good team to keep it going against. Winning this game will complete a perfect 4-0 season for the North against the Chiefs.
Pick: Steelers 20, Chargers 6
Philadelphia (3-9) at Tampa Bay (6-6) - 1pm FOX
There was once a time when people thought the Eagles were destined to become the best team in the NFL. Michael Vick had resurrected his career and was ready to become the quarterback every team feared. The defense was going to be top 10 every year, and with DeSean Jackson and LeSean McCoy, the offense was going to be explosive. Then a funny thing happened. They got off to a terrible start last year, before finally turning it around. This year, they somehow started 3-1, but the turnover machine that is Vick wouldn't let them win again and now Nick Foles is your starting quarterback. Could it get worse? Yes. They fire their defensive coordinator, then their defensive line coach, and release their sack leader from a year ago.
The Bucs were in position to make a run at a wild card spot until they were blown up by the machine that is Peyton Manning and his rebirth tour with the Broncos. Now they need to get a win just to keep hope alive. Luckily, the aforementioned Eagles are reeling, making this a good time to get that win. As long as Josh Freeman plays a good game anyway.
Pick: Buccaneers 31, Eagles 17
Baltimore (9-3) at Washington (6-6) - 1pm CBS
The Ravens literally laid an egg last week against the wounded Steelers, blowing a chance at securing a playoff birth and strengthening their grip on the division. They'll still win the AFC North, but now it appears there are issues with Ravens that have been uncovered to go along with their road woes, such as their inability to give the ball to Ray Rice at key points in the games they've lost. Also, just what is Joe Flacco's issue? One week he's Joe Montana, the next week he can't complete a pass for the life of him.
I was burned by Robert Griffin III and the Redskins last week. I thought for sure they'd lose to the Giants, given the urgency that the Giants displayed a week prior. Sure, RGIII had dismantled the Cowboys, but the Redskins defense nearly gave that one away so I was not sold on them. I'm still not sold, but the Ravens on the road never seems to end well these days and RGIII has a chance to put their playoff plans on hold for another week.
Pick: Redskins 24, Ravens 20
Atlanta (11-1) at Carolina (3-9) - 1pm FOX
Earlier in the season, the Falcons nearly lost to the Panthers. It took a miraculous fumble by Cam Newton followed by the Panthers secondary apparently ignoring the rule that states you don't let a receiver get behind you with a lead when the opposing team is inside their own five yard line with under a minute to go. The Falcons now look to secure their playoff seeding and remind the Panthers how far they really have to go.
It almost isn't fair for Newton and the Panthers. I figured they had a very reasonable chance to go into Kansas City and win on the road, but then the unfortunate murder-suicide happened, the Chiefs players rallied around each other, played inspired football, and came away with their only impressive win of the season thus far. Now the Panthers have to regroup against the NFC's best. It just isn't right. Oh, and they should've won that first meeting.
Pick: Falcons 21, Panthers 20
NY Jets (5-7) at Jacksonville (2-10) - 1pm CBS
The Jets had to turn to their third string quarterback last week and Greg McElroy did what Mark Sanchez couldn't do, and that's complete a throw to one of his teammates, much less for a touchdown. Simply put, I keep writing about how much of a mess the Jets are and each week they prove it further and further again. Last week's game became the most unwatchable game of the year due to two inept offenses who couldn't move the ball at all. Now the Jets get the Jags, a team they should beat. Should. Sanchez is the starter, but how long is the leash now?
The Jaguars looked decent for a couple weeks with Chad Henne as their quarterback, but last week he ran into his old AFC East foe in the Bills and did not play so well. There just must be something about those AFC East teams that cause him trouble. Still, it was a sobering reminder of how dire the Jags quarterback situation is.
Pick: Jets 15, Jaguars 12
Miami (5-7) at San Francisco (8-3-1) - 4:05pm CBS
Here's what we know about the Dolphins: Ryan Tannehill has some potential, but he needs help, Reggie Bush cannot carry the running back load for more than 5 quarters before he disappears for the next 11, Brian Hartline will give you a monster game once every few weeks, and the defense needs some help. Give Tannehill some more pieces then watch out.
The 49ers...ugh...I can't even talk about them. Colin Kaepernick was a nice story until we were reminded that he is indeed a rookie and rookies make bad mistakes at bad times. also, we now know the 49ers just can't beat the Rams. Anywhere. They should win this game, but the quarterback situation will become a distraction if Kaepernick struggles again.
Pick: 49ers 23, Dolphins 17
New Orleans (5-7) at NY Giants (7-5) - 4:25pm FOX
For a while, it looked the Saints were not only going to defy the odds, but Roger Goodell's attempts at banishing them from the face of the NFL. Drew Brees got hot, the defense was able to get a couple of stops a game (as opposed to none in it's horrific start to the season), and there seemed to be an outside chance that the Saints could make an improbable playoff run. Then Brees started throwing picks, the defense stopped stopping people, and those faint playoff hopes are pretty much gone. How much pride do the Saints have?
The Giants are one of the more frustrating teams under Tom Coughlin. They can look like the best team in football for a few weeks, then suddenly disappear for a couple of weeks losing games they shouldn't lose, before reappearing miraculously again. They repeat this process several times throughout the season, making sure their final hot streak occurs right before the playoffs start. They might want to consider starting early with the Cowboys and Redskins right on their heels.
Pick: Giants 34, Saints 31
Arizona (4-8) at Seattle (7-5) - 4:25pm FOX
The Cardinals stink, their line couldn't protect a quarterback from a pack of snails rushing the quarterback, and the defense is gassed. If they win again this year, I'd be shocked. Heck, they couldn't beat the Jets with the Jets only scoring 7 points. How sad is that?
The Seahawks have surprised me. Russell Wilson has surprised me. Marshawn Lynch does not surprise me. However, the toll that will be taken with half their secondary being suspended for PEDs can't be overlooked. Good thing the Cardinals don't have a passing attack to speak of.
Pick: Seahawks 27, Cardinals 10
Detroit (4-8) at Green Bay (8-4) - 8:20pm NBC
The Lions had a 33-21 lead with less than 5 minutes remaining against the Colts. Their "vaunted" defensive line stopped getting pressure and the Colts scored a touchdown with less than three minutes to go. The Lions didn't need to do much to run out the clock, but weren't able to do anything and a poor punt from Nick Harris allowed the Colts to start from the 25. 1:07 later, the Colts were celebrating and the Lions were trying to figure out how they had blown another fourth quarter lead. They might not have to worry about that though with the Packers.
The Packers have been a strange team. They're 8-4, but feels like they should be 6-6. They haven't really clicked all season long, but Aaron Rodgers keeps throwing touchdown passes and they keep finding a way to win. Now, with the Bears struggling, the Packers have a chance to get the NFC North title. They'd love to take that first step against the struggling Lions.
Pick: Packers 38, Lions 30
Monday
Houston (11-1) at New England (9-3) - 8:30pm ESPN
The Texans have been the most consistent team in football this year. Other than a bad game against the Packers and their defense taking the weekend off against the Jaguars, they've been solid on both sides of the ball in just about every game. Last week's game against the Titans was over before the first quarter was done, and that was with minimal effort. This game won't be so easy.
The Patriots wrapped up the division, but now have their eyes on securing a high seed for their playoff push. This game means more to them than the Texans for that reason alone. That and Bill Belichick will want to make a point that the Patriots aren't that far from the Texans in how good they are. Oh, and it's at Foxboro, thus giving the slight edge to the Patriots.
Pick: Patriots 27, Texans 24
The Browns Game
Kansas City (2-10) at Cleveland (4-8) - 1pm CBS
The Chiefs rallied around each other after the tragedy that fell upon them when it was learned that Jovan Belcher had killed his girlfriend, then killed himself the day before their game against the Panthers. The result was inspired play and an unexpected victory from a team that had underachieved all season long. Now they take their show to Cleveland, who is starting to show signs of growing up. Of course, it wouldn't be a game without stories of Peyton Hillis' return, as well as former coach Romeo Crennel and quarterback Brady Quinn. The Chiefs rode the wave of their emotions last week, can they do it again?
It'll be harder just because the Browns defense is better than the Panthers, especially up front and in the secondary (hard to believe, right). For the first time all season, Dick Jauron is expected to have his entire secondary healthy, which coupled with a healthy front four could make things tough on the Chiefs offense. The Browns offense, which hasn't scored a ton of points, has still moved the ball relatively well of late and should be able to get good yardage against the Chiefs. Hillis may be amped up to face his former team, but Hillis doesn't get a ton of carries to begin with. If the Browns offense can get going early, this game could be over quickly, something we're not accustomed to seeing around here.
Pick: Browns 27, Chiefs 20
Last: 11-5
Overall: 103-37-1
I'm looking squarely at the New York Giants, Baltimore Ravens, Chicago Bears, and San Francisco 49ers. For the Giants, it seems Eli Manning is enduring a rough stretch in his career. Discard his big game a week ago, and you see some unflattering numbers going back the last few weeks. Defensively, they've been sound, but the points aren't being scored.
The Ravens had a chance to secure a playoff spot against the Steelers and their third string quarterback, but instead watched Joe Flacco play as poorly as he's played at home ever and completely ignored Ray Rice again, who has to be wondering who he angered on the coaching staff.
The Bears decided that playing defense at the end of a game meant letting Russell Wilson drive down the field, then allow the same in overtime. The 49ers, well, there must be something about the Rams that gives them fits. The game almost ended in a tie, David Akers missed a second potential game-winning field goal, and the Rams were able to get close enough to earn a win.
This week I think the best game, and the toughest to pick, is the Texans-Patriots matchup on Monday Night Football. The Texans are looking to lock up home-field advantage, the Patriots want to secure at least the second seed or better. This could be a fun game. Other than that, there aren't many "I HAVE to watch that game" matchups.
So let's get to it.
Thursday
Denver (9-3) at Oakland (3-9) - 8:20 NFL Network
There were suspicions that the Broncos would be better this year. No one knew what to expect from Peyton Manning, but the thought was if he played anywhere near his previous level, the offense would be explosive. Well, 12 games in, the Broncos have scored 349 points, good for an average of 29 points per game. Manning seems to have complete control over the offense now, and with the defense gelling, this team has become very dangerous.
The Raiders, sadly, have not prospered since trading the farm for Carson Palmer. He hasn't been terrible, but he hasn't been great either. In any case, the real issue has been with the defense. Up until last week's game against the Browns, the Raiders had been historically bad on that side of the ball, and it could've been worse against the Browns if they hadn't picked off Brandon Weeden twice deep in their own end. I want, for a friend's sake, to find reason for the Raiders to win, but it's getting hard. Even if the Broncos rest a bunch of people since the division is already clinched, there's still the possibility of a first round bye on the line for the Broncos.
Pick: Broncos 23, Raiders 21
Sunday
St. Louis (5-6-1) at Buffalo (5-7) - 1pm FOX
The Rams refuse to go away. Every time I try to write them off, they pull off some kind of stunner like they did last week against the 49ers. They're playoff chances are slim at best, but they're still there. They aren't wowing anyone with their performances, but the defense has been gritty when it's needed to be and this week it will need to be so again against the occasionally explosive Bills. Can Sam Bradford and this overachieving bunch pull off another one?
The Bills finally put together a complete performance last week. Keep in mind it came against the Jaguars, but it was still the first time the defense and offense had shown up at the same time. The Bills are fighting injuries on the offensive side though and that could make things more challenging than they should be. I want to think the Bills are going to run away with this game, but I have a feeling it's not going to be that way.
Pick: Bills 20, Rams 17
Tennessee (4-8) at Indianapolis (8-4) - 1pm CBS
The Titans did not have a good time against the Texans last week. Jake Locker had a rough outing and the defense put them in a big hole right from the start. They were down 21-3 at the half and never seriously threatened to come back. This game shouldn't be as rough, but I don't think the Titans are going to go into Indy and find a win.
Andrew Luck and RGIII are pretty much going to take the Rookie of the Year race down to the very end. Of late, both have played spectacularly in leading their team to victories in recent weeks. Luck of course mastered the comeback from 12 down in the final five minutes against the Lions, throwing the winning touchdown pass as time expired and outrunning his receiver into the end zone to celebrate. The Colts now get to play at home, where Luck has been at his best. The Colts defense will give up points, but I expect the Colts to outscore the Titans.
Pick: Colts 27, Titans 23
Chicago (8-4) at Minnesota (6-6) - 1pm FOX
Okay Chicago, we're going to try this again. That game last week? Should've won that game, but you let the Seahawks hang around and now you're in a battle with the Packers for the division, a battle you wouldn't be in if you hadn't laid an egg last week or weeks back against the 49ers. Instead, you have to go on the road and win against your divisional rival Vikings, who are reeling as well. Oh, and do it without Brian Urlacher.
The Vikings can run the ball very well. Unfortunately, Christian Ponder is just not a very good quarterback right now. Percy Harvin being out hurts, but this team wasn't lighting up the passing game prior to that either. It does them no good for Adrian Peterson to run for 150+ yards and them not score or win. Of course, last time I counted them out, they surprised me by beating up the Lions.
Pick: Bears 24, Vikings 20
San Diego (4-8) at Pittsburgh (7-5) - 1pm CBS
Here are some facts for Chargers fans: the last time the Chiefs won, it was week 9 against the Chiefs. Before that, it was week 4 again against the Chiefs. After week 4, they were 3-1 and seemed to be in good shape with how the rest of the division was struggling. Then came the meltdown against the Saints, followed by the historic meltdown against the Broncos (up 24-0 at half, lose 35-24), then the season spiraled from there. It's almost a given that Norv Turner will be fired at the end of the season and a retool is going to begin.
The Steelers surprised a number of people by going into Baltimore and winning behing 37 year-old Charlie Batch. Now news has come out that the Steelers will be starting Ben Roethlisberger this week. This is a must-win for the Steelers. The wildcard scenarios are a mess with so many teams vying for the final two spots, one of them being their AFC North rival Bengals. Last week's performance could be a springboard for them and the Chargers are a good team to keep it going against. Winning this game will complete a perfect 4-0 season for the North against the Chiefs.
Pick: Steelers 20, Chargers 6
Philadelphia (3-9) at Tampa Bay (6-6) - 1pm FOX
There was once a time when people thought the Eagles were destined to become the best team in the NFL. Michael Vick had resurrected his career and was ready to become the quarterback every team feared. The defense was going to be top 10 every year, and with DeSean Jackson and LeSean McCoy, the offense was going to be explosive. Then a funny thing happened. They got off to a terrible start last year, before finally turning it around. This year, they somehow started 3-1, but the turnover machine that is Vick wouldn't let them win again and now Nick Foles is your starting quarterback. Could it get worse? Yes. They fire their defensive coordinator, then their defensive line coach, and release their sack leader from a year ago.
The Bucs were in position to make a run at a wild card spot until they were blown up by the machine that is Peyton Manning and his rebirth tour with the Broncos. Now they need to get a win just to keep hope alive. Luckily, the aforementioned Eagles are reeling, making this a good time to get that win. As long as Josh Freeman plays a good game anyway.
Pick: Buccaneers 31, Eagles 17
Baltimore (9-3) at Washington (6-6) - 1pm CBS
The Ravens literally laid an egg last week against the wounded Steelers, blowing a chance at securing a playoff birth and strengthening their grip on the division. They'll still win the AFC North, but now it appears there are issues with Ravens that have been uncovered to go along with their road woes, such as their inability to give the ball to Ray Rice at key points in the games they've lost. Also, just what is Joe Flacco's issue? One week he's Joe Montana, the next week he can't complete a pass for the life of him.
I was burned by Robert Griffin III and the Redskins last week. I thought for sure they'd lose to the Giants, given the urgency that the Giants displayed a week prior. Sure, RGIII had dismantled the Cowboys, but the Redskins defense nearly gave that one away so I was not sold on them. I'm still not sold, but the Ravens on the road never seems to end well these days and RGIII has a chance to put their playoff plans on hold for another week.
Pick: Redskins 24, Ravens 20
Atlanta (11-1) at Carolina (3-9) - 1pm FOX
Earlier in the season, the Falcons nearly lost to the Panthers. It took a miraculous fumble by Cam Newton followed by the Panthers secondary apparently ignoring the rule that states you don't let a receiver get behind you with a lead when the opposing team is inside their own five yard line with under a minute to go. The Falcons now look to secure their playoff seeding and remind the Panthers how far they really have to go.
It almost isn't fair for Newton and the Panthers. I figured they had a very reasonable chance to go into Kansas City and win on the road, but then the unfortunate murder-suicide happened, the Chiefs players rallied around each other, played inspired football, and came away with their only impressive win of the season thus far. Now the Panthers have to regroup against the NFC's best. It just isn't right. Oh, and they should've won that first meeting.
Pick: Falcons 21, Panthers 20
NY Jets (5-7) at Jacksonville (2-10) - 1pm CBS
The Jets had to turn to their third string quarterback last week and Greg McElroy did what Mark Sanchez couldn't do, and that's complete a throw to one of his teammates, much less for a touchdown. Simply put, I keep writing about how much of a mess the Jets are and each week they prove it further and further again. Last week's game became the most unwatchable game of the year due to two inept offenses who couldn't move the ball at all. Now the Jets get the Jags, a team they should beat. Should. Sanchez is the starter, but how long is the leash now?
The Jaguars looked decent for a couple weeks with Chad Henne as their quarterback, but last week he ran into his old AFC East foe in the Bills and did not play so well. There just must be something about those AFC East teams that cause him trouble. Still, it was a sobering reminder of how dire the Jags quarterback situation is.
Pick: Jets 15, Jaguars 12
Miami (5-7) at San Francisco (8-3-1) - 4:05pm CBS
Here's what we know about the Dolphins: Ryan Tannehill has some potential, but he needs help, Reggie Bush cannot carry the running back load for more than 5 quarters before he disappears for the next 11, Brian Hartline will give you a monster game once every few weeks, and the defense needs some help. Give Tannehill some more pieces then watch out.
The 49ers...ugh...I can't even talk about them. Colin Kaepernick was a nice story until we were reminded that he is indeed a rookie and rookies make bad mistakes at bad times. also, we now know the 49ers just can't beat the Rams. Anywhere. They should win this game, but the quarterback situation will become a distraction if Kaepernick struggles again.
Pick: 49ers 23, Dolphins 17
New Orleans (5-7) at NY Giants (7-5) - 4:25pm FOX
For a while, it looked the Saints were not only going to defy the odds, but Roger Goodell's attempts at banishing them from the face of the NFL. Drew Brees got hot, the defense was able to get a couple of stops a game (as opposed to none in it's horrific start to the season), and there seemed to be an outside chance that the Saints could make an improbable playoff run. Then Brees started throwing picks, the defense stopped stopping people, and those faint playoff hopes are pretty much gone. How much pride do the Saints have?
The Giants are one of the more frustrating teams under Tom Coughlin. They can look like the best team in football for a few weeks, then suddenly disappear for a couple of weeks losing games they shouldn't lose, before reappearing miraculously again. They repeat this process several times throughout the season, making sure their final hot streak occurs right before the playoffs start. They might want to consider starting early with the Cowboys and Redskins right on their heels.
Pick: Giants 34, Saints 31
Arizona (4-8) at Seattle (7-5) - 4:25pm FOX
The Cardinals stink, their line couldn't protect a quarterback from a pack of snails rushing the quarterback, and the defense is gassed. If they win again this year, I'd be shocked. Heck, they couldn't beat the Jets with the Jets only scoring 7 points. How sad is that?
The Seahawks have surprised me. Russell Wilson has surprised me. Marshawn Lynch does not surprise me. However, the toll that will be taken with half their secondary being suspended for PEDs can't be overlooked. Good thing the Cardinals don't have a passing attack to speak of.
Pick: Seahawks 27, Cardinals 10
Detroit (4-8) at Green Bay (8-4) - 8:20pm NBC
The Lions had a 33-21 lead with less than 5 minutes remaining against the Colts. Their "vaunted" defensive line stopped getting pressure and the Colts scored a touchdown with less than three minutes to go. The Lions didn't need to do much to run out the clock, but weren't able to do anything and a poor punt from Nick Harris allowed the Colts to start from the 25. 1:07 later, the Colts were celebrating and the Lions were trying to figure out how they had blown another fourth quarter lead. They might not have to worry about that though with the Packers.
The Packers have been a strange team. They're 8-4, but feels like they should be 6-6. They haven't really clicked all season long, but Aaron Rodgers keeps throwing touchdown passes and they keep finding a way to win. Now, with the Bears struggling, the Packers have a chance to get the NFC North title. They'd love to take that first step against the struggling Lions.
Pick: Packers 38, Lions 30
Monday
Houston (11-1) at New England (9-3) - 8:30pm ESPN
The Texans have been the most consistent team in football this year. Other than a bad game against the Packers and their defense taking the weekend off against the Jaguars, they've been solid on both sides of the ball in just about every game. Last week's game against the Titans was over before the first quarter was done, and that was with minimal effort. This game won't be so easy.
The Patriots wrapped up the division, but now have their eyes on securing a high seed for their playoff push. This game means more to them than the Texans for that reason alone. That and Bill Belichick will want to make a point that the Patriots aren't that far from the Texans in how good they are. Oh, and it's at Foxboro, thus giving the slight edge to the Patriots.
Pick: Patriots 27, Texans 24
The Browns Game
Kansas City (2-10) at Cleveland (4-8) - 1pm CBS
The Chiefs rallied around each other after the tragedy that fell upon them when it was learned that Jovan Belcher had killed his girlfriend, then killed himself the day before their game against the Panthers. The result was inspired play and an unexpected victory from a team that had underachieved all season long. Now they take their show to Cleveland, who is starting to show signs of growing up. Of course, it wouldn't be a game without stories of Peyton Hillis' return, as well as former coach Romeo Crennel and quarterback Brady Quinn. The Chiefs rode the wave of their emotions last week, can they do it again?
It'll be harder just because the Browns defense is better than the Panthers, especially up front and in the secondary (hard to believe, right). For the first time all season, Dick Jauron is expected to have his entire secondary healthy, which coupled with a healthy front four could make things tough on the Chiefs offense. The Browns offense, which hasn't scored a ton of points, has still moved the ball relatively well of late and should be able to get good yardage against the Chiefs. Hillis may be amped up to face his former team, but Hillis doesn't get a ton of carries to begin with. If the Browns offense can get going early, this game could be over quickly, something we're not accustomed to seeing around here.
Pick: Browns 27, Chiefs 20
Last: 11-5
Overall: 103-37-1
Wednesday, December 5, 2012
The social network
I took a venture back onto Google+ today.
I had originally joined it last year as a substitute for Facebook since it seemed several people were talking about jumping ship to the shiny new social network that was getting a lot of publicity.
One year after my last post, I went back and took a peek at the site that never quite took off the way Google probably thought it would. I attempted to change my profile picture on there and rediscovered why I abandoned it in the first place. The site, while laid out nicely, is clunky at best. It is nice to be able to link your profile to other Google-affiliated sites such as Youtube and Blogger, but ultimately it's cumbersome to try and do much of anything on the actual site.
It took 15 minutes, several reloads, and an act of God to get my profile picture changed. As of this point, the other sites have not recognized this profile change and are still displaying the old picture.
There are some nice ideas behing Google+. The hangout idea is nice, as is how easy they make it sound to video chat with multiple people. I even like the Your Circle concept that they bring to the table.
Social networking is a funny thing overall though. Myspace was all the rage up until a couple years ago when Facebook found its footing. Now I bet most don't know anyone who regularly uses Myspace, or if you do, it's one sad, lonely individual who just can't let go of the site. This despite how much complaining is done about Facebook and how it operates, especially when it pertains to individual security settings.
For those who complain, it's a social network, not a hide everything you put up because you're embarrassed by what you said, did, or wore. Don't want people to see it? Don't post it. Or, go in, change your settings, and go about your life. Yes, Facebook can frustrate with how slow it can be at times, how often there seem to be hiccups, but complaining about privacy on a social network is silly.
I've resisted the temptation to join Twitter thus far. It's a battle I've gone back and forth on for sometime, partially because while I'm fascinated by the ability to follow athletes, celebrities, and local friends and see what they're all up to, it sounds like a simplified Facebook that's encouraged people to talk like idiots.
I just don't think I could devote time to a social platform when I already tend to ignore Facebook on a regular basis.
But again, the temptation to see what people are saying on Twitter is immense, plus the fact that so many companies are promoting themselves through Twitter and posting contests that are exclusive to that realm.
It's actually amazing to me how many different ways people can express themselves anymore. There are social sites like Facebook and Twitter, blogging sites such as Blogger and Tumblr, picture sites that allow sharing through multiple avenues, and even work networking sites that allow you to connect with coworkers in a social environment.
Additionally, most online stories allow people to comment on them, giving people even more ways to express themselves on whatever they think about, even if it has nothing to do with what the story is about. This has led to things such as trolling (leaving comments simply to incite others that are usually negative or derogatory) and people arguing just because they can.
It allows someone like me an avenue to express my opinion on a number of items, although mine lately have been exclusive to the sporting world.
I could come in here and say the most inflammatory thing and get away with it. It's the beauty of the internet and the social environment we live in now.
Twitter isn't that exciting though. It seems the most outrageous tweets often are deleted within hours of being posted due to backlash caused. Twitter has also led to several parody profiles of various celebritites. Some embrace the idea that it isn't really the celebrity posting, others try to convince it is who they say they are.
In the end, it doesn't matter how you choose to express yourself. Me? I've stuck with this blog, my Facebook page, and occasionally in my Youtube videos that I've posted. Whether I expand or not depends on whether there's an audience for it. I'm sure I could boost my Youtube numbers by posting more on various platforms, but I'm not the self-promoting type.
Today I went back onto Google+, but it doesn't seem likely that I'll be back anytime soon. I'll stick with what I already have.
I had originally joined it last year as a substitute for Facebook since it seemed several people were talking about jumping ship to the shiny new social network that was getting a lot of publicity.
One year after my last post, I went back and took a peek at the site that never quite took off the way Google probably thought it would. I attempted to change my profile picture on there and rediscovered why I abandoned it in the first place. The site, while laid out nicely, is clunky at best. It is nice to be able to link your profile to other Google-affiliated sites such as Youtube and Blogger, but ultimately it's cumbersome to try and do much of anything on the actual site.
It took 15 minutes, several reloads, and an act of God to get my profile picture changed. As of this point, the other sites have not recognized this profile change and are still displaying the old picture.
There are some nice ideas behing Google+. The hangout idea is nice, as is how easy they make it sound to video chat with multiple people. I even like the Your Circle concept that they bring to the table.
Social networking is a funny thing overall though. Myspace was all the rage up until a couple years ago when Facebook found its footing. Now I bet most don't know anyone who regularly uses Myspace, or if you do, it's one sad, lonely individual who just can't let go of the site. This despite how much complaining is done about Facebook and how it operates, especially when it pertains to individual security settings.
For those who complain, it's a social network, not a hide everything you put up because you're embarrassed by what you said, did, or wore. Don't want people to see it? Don't post it. Or, go in, change your settings, and go about your life. Yes, Facebook can frustrate with how slow it can be at times, how often there seem to be hiccups, but complaining about privacy on a social network is silly.
I've resisted the temptation to join Twitter thus far. It's a battle I've gone back and forth on for sometime, partially because while I'm fascinated by the ability to follow athletes, celebrities, and local friends and see what they're all up to, it sounds like a simplified Facebook that's encouraged people to talk like idiots.
I just don't think I could devote time to a social platform when I already tend to ignore Facebook on a regular basis.
But again, the temptation to see what people are saying on Twitter is immense, plus the fact that so many companies are promoting themselves through Twitter and posting contests that are exclusive to that realm.
It's actually amazing to me how many different ways people can express themselves anymore. There are social sites like Facebook and Twitter, blogging sites such as Blogger and Tumblr, picture sites that allow sharing through multiple avenues, and even work networking sites that allow you to connect with coworkers in a social environment.
Additionally, most online stories allow people to comment on them, giving people even more ways to express themselves on whatever they think about, even if it has nothing to do with what the story is about. This has led to things such as trolling (leaving comments simply to incite others that are usually negative or derogatory) and people arguing just because they can.
It allows someone like me an avenue to express my opinion on a number of items, although mine lately have been exclusive to the sporting world.
I could come in here and say the most inflammatory thing and get away with it. It's the beauty of the internet and the social environment we live in now.
Twitter isn't that exciting though. It seems the most outrageous tweets often are deleted within hours of being posted due to backlash caused. Twitter has also led to several parody profiles of various celebritites. Some embrace the idea that it isn't really the celebrity posting, others try to convince it is who they say they are.
In the end, it doesn't matter how you choose to express yourself. Me? I've stuck with this blog, my Facebook page, and occasionally in my Youtube videos that I've posted. Whether I expand or not depends on whether there's an audience for it. I'm sure I could boost my Youtube numbers by posting more on various platforms, but I'm not the self-promoting type.
Today I went back onto Google+, but it doesn't seem likely that I'll be back anytime soon. I'll stick with what I already have.
The Sports Mixer - After further review
Each week I take a look back at the last Browns game and point out the things that stood out to me. The most recent game was a 20-17 win over the Oakland Raiders....sorry Heny.
Brandon Weeden continues to make rookie mistakes, but he reminded fans why the Browns were high on him when he dropped a 44 yard touchdown pass to Josh Gordon that stunned the Raider crowd. Unfortunately, he dropped two picks into the laps of the Raiders when the Browns were driving down the field, removing two potential scoring opportunities. He now has 13 touchdown passes, but the 15 interceptions continue to be a concern.
Trent Richardson runs hard, but it seems like Montario Hardesty hits the hole faster and gets upfield quicker. Richardson doesn't go down easily though and is still likely going to hit 1,000 yards rushing despite missing all of preseason and significant time in other games due to a rib injury.
Josh Gordon has been the surprise of the year for the Browns. Showing a set of hands not seen in these parts in a long time to go with a good burst of speed and good size, the Browns may have found a number one receiver. Add in the sudden improvement shown by Greg Little, and the receiver situation is suddenly ten times better than previously thought.
The defense, well, Buster Skrine, allowed a big play, but otherwise played fairly well. There wasn't a ton of pressure on Carson Palmer, but the coverage was generally good. Sheldon Brown in particular had a solid game, defending three passes and picking off an underthrown pass from Palmer that directly led to the scoring drive that sealed the win.
The team showed tremendous growth on that scoring drive as Weeden threw for a couple of critical first downs and Richardson punched it in from three yards out, something we're becoming accustomed to seeing from him this year. He has seven on the season and it isn't inconceivable that he could pass Jim Brown's rookie record by the end of the season.
For the first time in a long time, Pat Shurmer didn't make any glaring mistakes in coaching. He went for it on fourth down on two different occasions and had Weeden throw the ball deep on several other occasions to keep the Raiders defense honest. Some may point to his lack of a challenge on a bad spot on the final scoring drive that burned a timeout, but in retrospect, that moment had little bearing on the final outcome.
The Browns matched their win total from last season with this win, and it's very possible they could win two more games this season. This week's game against the Chiefs is winnable despite the mini momentum that the Chiefs picked up in their emotional win last week. The following week gives them their first look at Robert Griffin III, then they travel to Denver where it's possible the Broncos could be resting some starters that day. They finish the season in Pittsburgh, where the Steelers could be fighting for their playoff lives.
The growth on this team can't be discounted, even from the most pessimistic of people. Jabaal Sheard's sack numbers are down, but he's been more involved in the steadily improving run defense. Rookie defensive tackles Billy Winn and John Hughes have both shown tremendous promise as part of a rotation that includes last year's rookie Phil Taylor and standout veteran Ahtyba Rubin. The young linebackers have shown growth as well, and despite Skrine's penchant for bad plays at bad times, even he has shown growth on the field. Offensively, Mitchell Schwartz's name is not being called, which is good for an offensive linemen. We've documented Weeden, Gordon, Little, and Richardson, but the offensive line has improved over the course of the season.
Josh Cribbs has complained about his role, but truth is, he's becoming less and less of a factor overall. Aside from being one of the first men down on special teams to make a tackle, his return numbers have been declining and he made one incredibly poor decision to bring a kick out from 9 yards deep. He still is capable of a big return, but it seems less and less likely he's going to break one anytime soon.
Last, but not least, a special shout-out to Phil Dawson, who's consecutive made field goals streak came to a halt, not because of a bad kick, but because of a high snap, treacherous field conditions, and a deflection because of the timing being thrown off. Dawson made two other field goals though and ultimately provided the margin of victory. Dawson has been steady and deserves one final contract before riding out into the sunset.
Brandon Weeden continues to make rookie mistakes, but he reminded fans why the Browns were high on him when he dropped a 44 yard touchdown pass to Josh Gordon that stunned the Raider crowd. Unfortunately, he dropped two picks into the laps of the Raiders when the Browns were driving down the field, removing two potential scoring opportunities. He now has 13 touchdown passes, but the 15 interceptions continue to be a concern.
Trent Richardson runs hard, but it seems like Montario Hardesty hits the hole faster and gets upfield quicker. Richardson doesn't go down easily though and is still likely going to hit 1,000 yards rushing despite missing all of preseason and significant time in other games due to a rib injury.
Josh Gordon has been the surprise of the year for the Browns. Showing a set of hands not seen in these parts in a long time to go with a good burst of speed and good size, the Browns may have found a number one receiver. Add in the sudden improvement shown by Greg Little, and the receiver situation is suddenly ten times better than previously thought.
The defense, well, Buster Skrine, allowed a big play, but otherwise played fairly well. There wasn't a ton of pressure on Carson Palmer, but the coverage was generally good. Sheldon Brown in particular had a solid game, defending three passes and picking off an underthrown pass from Palmer that directly led to the scoring drive that sealed the win.
The team showed tremendous growth on that scoring drive as Weeden threw for a couple of critical first downs and Richardson punched it in from three yards out, something we're becoming accustomed to seeing from him this year. He has seven on the season and it isn't inconceivable that he could pass Jim Brown's rookie record by the end of the season.
For the first time in a long time, Pat Shurmer didn't make any glaring mistakes in coaching. He went for it on fourth down on two different occasions and had Weeden throw the ball deep on several other occasions to keep the Raiders defense honest. Some may point to his lack of a challenge on a bad spot on the final scoring drive that burned a timeout, but in retrospect, that moment had little bearing on the final outcome.
The Browns matched their win total from last season with this win, and it's very possible they could win two more games this season. This week's game against the Chiefs is winnable despite the mini momentum that the Chiefs picked up in their emotional win last week. The following week gives them their first look at Robert Griffin III, then they travel to Denver where it's possible the Broncos could be resting some starters that day. They finish the season in Pittsburgh, where the Steelers could be fighting for their playoff lives.
The growth on this team can't be discounted, even from the most pessimistic of people. Jabaal Sheard's sack numbers are down, but he's been more involved in the steadily improving run defense. Rookie defensive tackles Billy Winn and John Hughes have both shown tremendous promise as part of a rotation that includes last year's rookie Phil Taylor and standout veteran Ahtyba Rubin. The young linebackers have shown growth as well, and despite Skrine's penchant for bad plays at bad times, even he has shown growth on the field. Offensively, Mitchell Schwartz's name is not being called, which is good for an offensive linemen. We've documented Weeden, Gordon, Little, and Richardson, but the offensive line has improved over the course of the season.
Josh Cribbs has complained about his role, but truth is, he's becoming less and less of a factor overall. Aside from being one of the first men down on special teams to make a tackle, his return numbers have been declining and he made one incredibly poor decision to bring a kick out from 9 yards deep. He still is capable of a big return, but it seems less and less likely he's going to break one anytime soon.
Last, but not least, a special shout-out to Phil Dawson, who's consecutive made field goals streak came to a halt, not because of a bad kick, but because of a high snap, treacherous field conditions, and a deflection because of the timing being thrown off. Dawson made two other field goals though and ultimately provided the margin of victory. Dawson has been steady and deserves one final contract before riding out into the sunset.
Thursday, November 29, 2012
The Sports Mixer - Week 13 picks
It's pretty amazing to think that there are only 5 weeks left in the NFL season before the playoffs begin. It seems like only yesterday teams like the Eagles were dreaming of the Super Bowl, thinking about the possibilities. So many teams, so many dreams, so many hopes dashed, in some cases as early as the fifth week. A look at the NFL standings shows six teams with 3 wins or less, which means the season is essentially over.
The playoff push begins for many though as 19 teams have at least five wins and a shot at the postseason. That number will certainly decline as the weeks go by, in many cases this week as several teams hovering around .500 play either vastly superior or vastly inferior opponents. Meanwhile, teams like the Ravens, Texans, Falcons, Broncos, and Patriots will be looking to either wrap up or virtually wrap up a playoff spot.
So let's get to the picks!
Thursday
New Orleans (5-6) at Atlanta (10-1) - 8:20pm NFL Network
A few weeks back, these two teams met back in New Orleans when the Falcons were undefeated. The Saints had been on a roll, but still were underdogs in most people's eyes. Not here at the Sports Mixer. Here, it seemed like the perfect opportunity for the Falcons to go down and the Saints delivered a 31-27 victory. Now the Saints get to travel to Atlanta for the rematch coming off a loss to the 49ers last week. The Saints are getting by almost strictly via offensive production, which means when the offense struggles, the team overall loses.
The Falcons have plenty of motivation to win this game. They can lock up a playoff spot and severely damage the Saints faint hopes all in one fell swoop, oh and avenge their only loss as well. Matt Ryan has been solid all season long, especially at home and I think this week the Falcons avenge the loss. The Saints run the last few weeks has been a nice story, but the defense is still pretty bad. Drew Brees is good, but he can't work miracles.
Pick: Falcons 34, Saints 28
Sunday
Jacksonville (2-9) at Buffalo (4-7) - 1pm CBS
Who knew Chad Henne was the answer for the Jaguars all along? A week after replacing an injured Blaine Gabbert and putting up huge numbers against the Texans, he continued his hot touch against the Titans, leading the Jags to a 24-19 win. Can he keep it up against a maligned Bills defense? It's possible, but I have to see it before I'll trust in his ability to consistently lead a team.
The Bills are a wreck. Let's face it. They get a tough win against the Dolphins, then follow it up by losing to the Colts. The offense is clearly struggling right now and it's a question of how much longer will the Bills continue to go with Ryan Fitzpatrick. He just doesn't have the consistency needed in a quarterback. I think being at home will help, but it's going to take another solid performance from the defense to pull off a win, even against the Jags.
Pick: Bills 20, Jaguars 16
Seattle (6-5) at Chicago (8-3) - 1pm FOX
The Seahawks are 5-0 at home, 1-5 on the road. That's really all you need to know. They're going into a tough environment at Soldier Field against a rejuvenated Bears team. This does not have the signs of a happy ending for Russell Wilson, who has performed exceptionally at home, but not so much on the road. Add in the suspensions of two of their cornerbacks, and things just got real dicey.
The Bears suddenly were healthy with the return of Jay Cutler. They didn't do anything remarkable on offense, they just settled down, which was apparently all they needed to do after getting blown out by the 49ers. I don't think they blow out the Seahawks, but they should be able to win comfortably.
Pick: Bears 24, Seahawks 14
Indianapolis (7-4) at Detroit (4-7) - 1pm CBS
Did anyone think the Colts would be 7-4? Did anyone think they'd be in the conversation for a wild card spot? Did anyone expect Andrew Luck to be this good? No, no, and yes. Luck has been as good as advertised, and the Colts have followed his lead with the help of some key veterans such as Reggie Wayne. At this point, 10 wins is a strong possibility as their final games include match-ups with the Titans, Texans (twice), and Chiefs after this week.
The Lions are just not having a good year. Expectations were high, but we hear more about suspensions and fines than plays on the field at this point in time. The lack of a running game has just absolutely killed them all season long, and while the Colts are one of the worst at stopping the run, the Lions aren't much of a threat to run it. I think both times are going to put up points, but the Lions just don't seem to have it this year and the Colts do.
Pick: Colts 27, Lions 24
Minnesota (6-5) at Green Bay (7-4) - 1pm FOX
Just when you think the Packers are set for a playoff push, the offensive line has self-destructed, putting Aaron Rodgers and his mustache in peril. The problems at the line compound things for an offense that has been relying on Rodgers all season long since they still can't run the ball and has been without Greg Jennings most of the year. Hosting Minnesota will be a challenge, but the Packers need this win and I think they'll get it.
The Vikings are the type of team that can't decide if it wants to be good or bad. Three weeks ago, needing a win, they pummeled the Lions to get to 6-4. Then they followed that up by not showing up against a Bears team that had been beat up the week before. Now they travel to Green Bay, and while the Packers are vulnerable, I just can't trust Christian Ponder and this offense. Adrian Peterson will get his numbers, but that will be about it.
Pick: Packers 31, Vikings 20
Houston (10-1) at Tennessee (4-7) - 1pm CBS
This game has upset special written all over it. The Texans have won two straight overtime games, so they have the potential to be slightly drained, but they've also had a couple extra days to prepare as well. They're also going against a defense that frankly hasn't been that good this year, and that's being nice. There's the potential to put up big numbers, but that's what I thought about them going against Jacksonville. They put up the numbers, but needed a spectacular play in overtime to finish the Jags off.
The Titans have shown promise at time with Jake Locker, but the defense has been a problem most of the season. Last week they became the second team to lose to the Jaguars, not a good way to come into this week against the Texans. Locker can put up yards, but will the Titans be able to get stops? I want to say this will be an upset, but the Texans can get that much closer to a division title with a win.
Pick: Texans 34, Titans 30
Carolina (3-8) at Kansas City (1-10) - 1pm FOX
The Panthers finally saw the Cam Newton on Monday Night Football that they were expecting to see all season long and it showed in both the stat line and the win column. Newton is an exceptional athlete, but his head doesn't seem to be in the right place a lot of the time. When he's on though, he's as dangerous as anyone that's ever played the game. The defense is still suspect, but they played better against a maligned Eagles team.
The Chiefs...their quarterback is Brady Quinn. I really can't say anything else. They've lost 10 games, have barely led in any of their games, and their one win seems incredibly flukish at this point in time. I just can't talk about them.
Pick: Panthers 27, Chiefs 13
San Francisco (8-2-1) at St. Louis (4-6-1) - 1pm FOX
Not too long ago, the 49ers hosted the Rams at Candlestick Park in what was thought to be a mismatch. Much to the home crowd's dismay, the Rams showed up to play and the NFL saw its first tie in four years as neither team did much in overtime. Now the rematch takes place with the 49ers starting Colin Kaepernick over Alex Smith as Jim Harbough rides the "hot hand" as he put it. Kaepernick has been remarkable in his two starts though and deserves the opportunity provided.
The Rams have played better since the return of Danny Amendola, but are still suspect when it comes to consistency on offense. Sam Bradford is still trying to prove that he is a worthy starting quarterback, and while Stephen Jackson has continued to run effectively, one has to wonder how much longer the Rams will hold on to him. The Rams have shown some improvement, but still have room to grow. I think it'll be competitive, but the 49ers have a lot at stake and the defense is going to want to atone for its performance earlier in the season.
Pick: 49ers 27, Rams 23
New England (8-3) at Miami (5-6) - 1pm CBS
As much as I don't want to, I have to give the Patriots credit. They overcame a rough stretch early in the season and now are pretty much in control of the AFC East. In fact, Miami is the only team within any kind of shouting distance, which means a win over the Dolphins would all but assure the Patriots of a divisional title. Aaron Hernandez's return last week made the loss of Rob Gronkowski much easier to bear, as did getting to face the Jets.
The Dolphins have a potentially bright future with Ryan Tannehill. He's looked like a rookie at times, but at other times, he's looked like a 10 year veteran with how he led the offense. Unfortunately for him, Bill Belichick has a way of making rookie quarterbacks look bad. Ask Andrew Luck how his first performance against the Patriots went. The Dolphins are feisty, but the Patriots should come away with a win.
Pick: Patriots 34, Dolphins 21
Arizona (4-7) at NY Jets (4-7) - 1pm FOX
At one point, the Cardinals were 4-0 and the talk of the NFL. Then reality hit, hit them again, and kick salt on the wound for good measure. Seven losses and three quarterbacks later, the Cardinals are reeling. But they got Beanie Wells back last week! Yeah, the rest of the season is going to be long for this franchise, which with a few exceptions, has seen this script far too often.
The Jets are a train wreck. They forgot to show up against the Patriots and pretty much punched their ticket to the April draft. In showing no resistance, they surrendered 49 points and the home crowd was cheering for Tim Tebow by halftime despite Mark Sanchez not really having a chance. There's a chance for some redemption this week as they go up against an equally inept team, but it'll be closer than most would like.
Pick: Jets 17, Cardinals 12
Tampa Bay (6-5) at Denver (8-3) - 4:05pm FOX
The Buccaneers are a tough bunch to get past. They fought to the final gun against the Falcons, falling just short in the end. They're in virtually every game and are in position for a playoff spot if they can keep winning. The offense works best when it's in hurry up mode, but it seems Greg Schiano is reluctant to go to it more often. They need this game to keep their playoff hopes alive, but it's going to be tough.
The Broncos have been playing as well as anyone the last several weeks. Peyton Manning has been in complete control since struggling earlier in the season and the defense has stepped up tremendously as well. A win at home will virtually assure them of the divisional crown in a very poor AFC West, but it's almost a given they'll clinch at some point. This could be one of the more exciting games of the week though.
Pick: Broncos 24, Buccaneers 20
Cincinnati (6-5) at San Diego (4-7) - 4:25pm CBS
The Bengals need a win to keep their wild card hopes alive. The Chargers need a win just to remind their fans of what it's like to win a game. Guess what I think is going to happen? The Bengals have been playing well of late and get to play a Chargers team that has just completely fallen apart. If Andy Dalton plays up to his abilities, this will be over by halftime. Then again, the Bengals tend to falter at the worst times.
Pick: Bengals 17, Chargers 10
Pittsburgh (6-5) at Baltimore (9-2) - 4:25pm CBS
The Steelers suffered a big hit to their playoff hopes when they lost to the Browns last week. The excuses came flying from the fanbase, but coach Mike Tomlin made it clear that the problem was obviously turning the ball over 8 times. 5 fumbles and 3 interceptions are hard to overcome, especially when your quarterback is your third stringer. Now they travel to Baltimore where the Ravens are incredibly tough to beat with a less than 50% chance of Ben Roethlisberger playing.
The Ravens are missing pieces on defense, but have managed to get 12 sacks in the last three games. That number figures to rise against a porous and banged up Steelers line that was abused by the Browns front four last week. Now comes news that Ray Lewis may return during the regular season, the growing legend of Ray Rice's run last week, and Terrell Suggs getting healthier.
Philadelphia (3-8) at Dallas (5-6) - 8:20pm NBC
The Eagles' season is officially over. Jason Babin, the sacks leader from a year ago, was released this week. DeSean Jackson has been shut down for the year. The so-called Dream Team, the dynasty that Michael Vick predicted, all the aspirations that the Eagles had after splurging in free agency, none of it matters now. The Eagles may win a game or two down the stretch, but it's hard to imagine when at this point.
The Cowboys are so overrated it isn't even funny. They follow up barely beating the Browns by allowing the Redskins to get a huge lead, then try to fight back but fall just short. Tony Romo is capable of big plays, but he's also capable of big clunkers. However, the Eagles aren't very good.
Pick: Cowboys 26, Eagles 13
Monday
NY Giants (7-4) at Washington (5-6) - 8:30pm ESPN
The Giants suddenly got their mojo back last week, thumping the Packers behind a renewed defensive effort and the return of the elite Eli Manning, who had gone M.I.A. during the recent losing streak. They now travel to Washington, D.C., to face an exciting Redskins team that is still holding out hope for a playoff berth. This could get interesting.
Robert Griffin III has made serious noise in the rookie of the year debate, especially after his performance last week in Dallas. A win at home over the Giants would be a huge boost to his campaign, plus a help to the Redskins playoff chances. Unfortunately, their defense isn't that good and I have a feeling Manning is going to shred them.
Pick: Giants 31, Redskins 27
The Browns Game
Cleveland (3-8) at Oakland (3-8) - 4:25pm CBS
The Browns needed their victory over the Steelers, not just to hold off the naysayers, but to give their morale a boost. It helped that it was against the Steelers, but the win came with plenty of questions as the offensive failed to capitalize on several turnover opportunities. Brandon Weeden threw a touchdown pass, but he was erratic with his throws and ultimately suffered a mild concussion. He's been cleared to play and the Browns will need him to be more accurate this week. It helps going against the porous Raiders defense though.
The Raiders are stumbling, having been blown out two straight weeks. They hope to have Darren McFadden back, but I'm not sure how much that will help given he doesn't play defense, but it may spark the team a bit. Unfortunately, the Raiders are awful on defense. They give up big plays and often seem out of position. If the Browns offense gets going in any way shape or form, it could be a rough day for the Raiders given the improvement the Browns have shown defensively.
Pick: Browns 26, Raiders 17
Last: 11-3
Overall: 92-32-1
The playoff push begins for many though as 19 teams have at least five wins and a shot at the postseason. That number will certainly decline as the weeks go by, in many cases this week as several teams hovering around .500 play either vastly superior or vastly inferior opponents. Meanwhile, teams like the Ravens, Texans, Falcons, Broncos, and Patriots will be looking to either wrap up or virtually wrap up a playoff spot.
So let's get to the picks!
Thursday
New Orleans (5-6) at Atlanta (10-1) - 8:20pm NFL Network
A few weeks back, these two teams met back in New Orleans when the Falcons were undefeated. The Saints had been on a roll, but still were underdogs in most people's eyes. Not here at the Sports Mixer. Here, it seemed like the perfect opportunity for the Falcons to go down and the Saints delivered a 31-27 victory. Now the Saints get to travel to Atlanta for the rematch coming off a loss to the 49ers last week. The Saints are getting by almost strictly via offensive production, which means when the offense struggles, the team overall loses.
The Falcons have plenty of motivation to win this game. They can lock up a playoff spot and severely damage the Saints faint hopes all in one fell swoop, oh and avenge their only loss as well. Matt Ryan has been solid all season long, especially at home and I think this week the Falcons avenge the loss. The Saints run the last few weeks has been a nice story, but the defense is still pretty bad. Drew Brees is good, but he can't work miracles.
Pick: Falcons 34, Saints 28
Sunday
Jacksonville (2-9) at Buffalo (4-7) - 1pm CBS
Who knew Chad Henne was the answer for the Jaguars all along? A week after replacing an injured Blaine Gabbert and putting up huge numbers against the Texans, he continued his hot touch against the Titans, leading the Jags to a 24-19 win. Can he keep it up against a maligned Bills defense? It's possible, but I have to see it before I'll trust in his ability to consistently lead a team.
The Bills are a wreck. Let's face it. They get a tough win against the Dolphins, then follow it up by losing to the Colts. The offense is clearly struggling right now and it's a question of how much longer will the Bills continue to go with Ryan Fitzpatrick. He just doesn't have the consistency needed in a quarterback. I think being at home will help, but it's going to take another solid performance from the defense to pull off a win, even against the Jags.
Pick: Bills 20, Jaguars 16
Seattle (6-5) at Chicago (8-3) - 1pm FOX
The Seahawks are 5-0 at home, 1-5 on the road. That's really all you need to know. They're going into a tough environment at Soldier Field against a rejuvenated Bears team. This does not have the signs of a happy ending for Russell Wilson, who has performed exceptionally at home, but not so much on the road. Add in the suspensions of two of their cornerbacks, and things just got real dicey.
The Bears suddenly were healthy with the return of Jay Cutler. They didn't do anything remarkable on offense, they just settled down, which was apparently all they needed to do after getting blown out by the 49ers. I don't think they blow out the Seahawks, but they should be able to win comfortably.
Pick: Bears 24, Seahawks 14
Indianapolis (7-4) at Detroit (4-7) - 1pm CBS
Did anyone think the Colts would be 7-4? Did anyone think they'd be in the conversation for a wild card spot? Did anyone expect Andrew Luck to be this good? No, no, and yes. Luck has been as good as advertised, and the Colts have followed his lead with the help of some key veterans such as Reggie Wayne. At this point, 10 wins is a strong possibility as their final games include match-ups with the Titans, Texans (twice), and Chiefs after this week.
The Lions are just not having a good year. Expectations were high, but we hear more about suspensions and fines than plays on the field at this point in time. The lack of a running game has just absolutely killed them all season long, and while the Colts are one of the worst at stopping the run, the Lions aren't much of a threat to run it. I think both times are going to put up points, but the Lions just don't seem to have it this year and the Colts do.
Pick: Colts 27, Lions 24
Minnesota (6-5) at Green Bay (7-4) - 1pm FOX
Just when you think the Packers are set for a playoff push, the offensive line has self-destructed, putting Aaron Rodgers and his mustache in peril. The problems at the line compound things for an offense that has been relying on Rodgers all season long since they still can't run the ball and has been without Greg Jennings most of the year. Hosting Minnesota will be a challenge, but the Packers need this win and I think they'll get it.
The Vikings are the type of team that can't decide if it wants to be good or bad. Three weeks ago, needing a win, they pummeled the Lions to get to 6-4. Then they followed that up by not showing up against a Bears team that had been beat up the week before. Now they travel to Green Bay, and while the Packers are vulnerable, I just can't trust Christian Ponder and this offense. Adrian Peterson will get his numbers, but that will be about it.
Pick: Packers 31, Vikings 20
Houston (10-1) at Tennessee (4-7) - 1pm CBS
This game has upset special written all over it. The Texans have won two straight overtime games, so they have the potential to be slightly drained, but they've also had a couple extra days to prepare as well. They're also going against a defense that frankly hasn't been that good this year, and that's being nice. There's the potential to put up big numbers, but that's what I thought about them going against Jacksonville. They put up the numbers, but needed a spectacular play in overtime to finish the Jags off.
The Titans have shown promise at time with Jake Locker, but the defense has been a problem most of the season. Last week they became the second team to lose to the Jaguars, not a good way to come into this week against the Texans. Locker can put up yards, but will the Titans be able to get stops? I want to say this will be an upset, but the Texans can get that much closer to a division title with a win.
Pick: Texans 34, Titans 30
Carolina (3-8) at Kansas City (1-10) - 1pm FOX
The Panthers finally saw the Cam Newton on Monday Night Football that they were expecting to see all season long and it showed in both the stat line and the win column. Newton is an exceptional athlete, but his head doesn't seem to be in the right place a lot of the time. When he's on though, he's as dangerous as anyone that's ever played the game. The defense is still suspect, but they played better against a maligned Eagles team.
The Chiefs...their quarterback is Brady Quinn. I really can't say anything else. They've lost 10 games, have barely led in any of their games, and their one win seems incredibly flukish at this point in time. I just can't talk about them.
Pick: Panthers 27, Chiefs 13
San Francisco (8-2-1) at St. Louis (4-6-1) - 1pm FOX
Not too long ago, the 49ers hosted the Rams at Candlestick Park in what was thought to be a mismatch. Much to the home crowd's dismay, the Rams showed up to play and the NFL saw its first tie in four years as neither team did much in overtime. Now the rematch takes place with the 49ers starting Colin Kaepernick over Alex Smith as Jim Harbough rides the "hot hand" as he put it. Kaepernick has been remarkable in his two starts though and deserves the opportunity provided.
The Rams have played better since the return of Danny Amendola, but are still suspect when it comes to consistency on offense. Sam Bradford is still trying to prove that he is a worthy starting quarterback, and while Stephen Jackson has continued to run effectively, one has to wonder how much longer the Rams will hold on to him. The Rams have shown some improvement, but still have room to grow. I think it'll be competitive, but the 49ers have a lot at stake and the defense is going to want to atone for its performance earlier in the season.
Pick: 49ers 27, Rams 23
New England (8-3) at Miami (5-6) - 1pm CBS
As much as I don't want to, I have to give the Patriots credit. They overcame a rough stretch early in the season and now are pretty much in control of the AFC East. In fact, Miami is the only team within any kind of shouting distance, which means a win over the Dolphins would all but assure the Patriots of a divisional title. Aaron Hernandez's return last week made the loss of Rob Gronkowski much easier to bear, as did getting to face the Jets.
The Dolphins have a potentially bright future with Ryan Tannehill. He's looked like a rookie at times, but at other times, he's looked like a 10 year veteran with how he led the offense. Unfortunately for him, Bill Belichick has a way of making rookie quarterbacks look bad. Ask Andrew Luck how his first performance against the Patriots went. The Dolphins are feisty, but the Patriots should come away with a win.
Pick: Patriots 34, Dolphins 21
Arizona (4-7) at NY Jets (4-7) - 1pm FOX
At one point, the Cardinals were 4-0 and the talk of the NFL. Then reality hit, hit them again, and kick salt on the wound for good measure. Seven losses and three quarterbacks later, the Cardinals are reeling. But they got Beanie Wells back last week! Yeah, the rest of the season is going to be long for this franchise, which with a few exceptions, has seen this script far too often.
The Jets are a train wreck. They forgot to show up against the Patriots and pretty much punched their ticket to the April draft. In showing no resistance, they surrendered 49 points and the home crowd was cheering for Tim Tebow by halftime despite Mark Sanchez not really having a chance. There's a chance for some redemption this week as they go up against an equally inept team, but it'll be closer than most would like.
Pick: Jets 17, Cardinals 12
Tampa Bay (6-5) at Denver (8-3) - 4:05pm FOX
The Buccaneers are a tough bunch to get past. They fought to the final gun against the Falcons, falling just short in the end. They're in virtually every game and are in position for a playoff spot if they can keep winning. The offense works best when it's in hurry up mode, but it seems Greg Schiano is reluctant to go to it more often. They need this game to keep their playoff hopes alive, but it's going to be tough.
The Broncos have been playing as well as anyone the last several weeks. Peyton Manning has been in complete control since struggling earlier in the season and the defense has stepped up tremendously as well. A win at home will virtually assure them of the divisional crown in a very poor AFC West, but it's almost a given they'll clinch at some point. This could be one of the more exciting games of the week though.
Pick: Broncos 24, Buccaneers 20
Cincinnati (6-5) at San Diego (4-7) - 4:25pm CBS
The Bengals need a win to keep their wild card hopes alive. The Chargers need a win just to remind their fans of what it's like to win a game. Guess what I think is going to happen? The Bengals have been playing well of late and get to play a Chargers team that has just completely fallen apart. If Andy Dalton plays up to his abilities, this will be over by halftime. Then again, the Bengals tend to falter at the worst times.
Pick: Bengals 17, Chargers 10
Pittsburgh (6-5) at Baltimore (9-2) - 4:25pm CBS
The Steelers suffered a big hit to their playoff hopes when they lost to the Browns last week. The excuses came flying from the fanbase, but coach Mike Tomlin made it clear that the problem was obviously turning the ball over 8 times. 5 fumbles and 3 interceptions are hard to overcome, especially when your quarterback is your third stringer. Now they travel to Baltimore where the Ravens are incredibly tough to beat with a less than 50% chance of Ben Roethlisberger playing.
The Ravens are missing pieces on defense, but have managed to get 12 sacks in the last three games. That number figures to rise against a porous and banged up Steelers line that was abused by the Browns front four last week. Now comes news that Ray Lewis may return during the regular season, the growing legend of Ray Rice's run last week, and Terrell Suggs getting healthier.
Philadelphia (3-8) at Dallas (5-6) - 8:20pm NBC
The Eagles' season is officially over. Jason Babin, the sacks leader from a year ago, was released this week. DeSean Jackson has been shut down for the year. The so-called Dream Team, the dynasty that Michael Vick predicted, all the aspirations that the Eagles had after splurging in free agency, none of it matters now. The Eagles may win a game or two down the stretch, but it's hard to imagine when at this point.
The Cowboys are so overrated it isn't even funny. They follow up barely beating the Browns by allowing the Redskins to get a huge lead, then try to fight back but fall just short. Tony Romo is capable of big plays, but he's also capable of big clunkers. However, the Eagles aren't very good.
Pick: Cowboys 26, Eagles 13
Monday
NY Giants (7-4) at Washington (5-6) - 8:30pm ESPN
The Giants suddenly got their mojo back last week, thumping the Packers behind a renewed defensive effort and the return of the elite Eli Manning, who had gone M.I.A. during the recent losing streak. They now travel to Washington, D.C., to face an exciting Redskins team that is still holding out hope for a playoff berth. This could get interesting.
Robert Griffin III has made serious noise in the rookie of the year debate, especially after his performance last week in Dallas. A win at home over the Giants would be a huge boost to his campaign, plus a help to the Redskins playoff chances. Unfortunately, their defense isn't that good and I have a feeling Manning is going to shred them.
Pick: Giants 31, Redskins 27
The Browns Game
Cleveland (3-8) at Oakland (3-8) - 4:25pm CBS
The Browns needed their victory over the Steelers, not just to hold off the naysayers, but to give their morale a boost. It helped that it was against the Steelers, but the win came with plenty of questions as the offensive failed to capitalize on several turnover opportunities. Brandon Weeden threw a touchdown pass, but he was erratic with his throws and ultimately suffered a mild concussion. He's been cleared to play and the Browns will need him to be more accurate this week. It helps going against the porous Raiders defense though.
The Raiders are stumbling, having been blown out two straight weeks. They hope to have Darren McFadden back, but I'm not sure how much that will help given he doesn't play defense, but it may spark the team a bit. Unfortunately, the Raiders are awful on defense. They give up big plays and often seem out of position. If the Browns offense gets going in any way shape or form, it could be a rough day for the Raiders given the improvement the Browns have shown defensively.
Pick: Browns 26, Raiders 17
Last: 11-3
Overall: 92-32-1
Wednesday, November 28, 2012
The Sports Mixer - After further review
A quick look back at the previous Browns game, this time a 20-14 win over the Steelers. Yes, I know I skipped a week.
I didn't get to watch the last game. I know, for shame. Given the spat I'm having with Time Warner and the lack of options at my current apartment (a story for another time), it may be a while before I can catch a game at home at this point. Such is life, right? That said, I followed enough of it during the game online and watched several highlight clips, therefore I'm qualifying myself educated enough to look back at the game.
Brandon Weeden wasn't awful, but he needs to get better fast if he wants to state his case to the new management team that he's the quarterback of the future. Right now, he's on shaky ground. He made a good throw to Jordan Cameron on the touchdown pass, but too often he's off the mark, reminding many of Derek Anderson, another strong-armed quarterback that flamed out quickly.
The receivers are getting better, so you can't pin Weeden's performance on them so much. Greg Little has gotten better with the drops, Josh Gordon has become a viable option, Josh Cooper (when active) has shown the ability to catch the ball, and Cameron has shown he could be an option as well. A good offseason could be the difference between taking a big step forward next year or middling along where they're at.
Trent Richardson gets a lot of flack for dancing in the backfield, but it just seems to me that it's more of an issue with the line not opening up holes for Richardson and the coaching staff not using him correctly (I get running between the tackles, I really do, but where are the pitchouts?). He also didn't have a preseason due to his knee injury and has missed time due to a rib injury as well. Despite that, he's on pace for over 1100 total yards, which isn't too shabby, especially with how inconsistent the offense has been.
The line gave up some sacks, but it has played substantially better since the Philadelphia game when they looked lost as a unit and Weeden had the stuffing beaten out of him. Pittsburgh's defense will cause sacks. They're that good. But for the most part, the protection was there.
The defensive line is starting to look like the strength of the team. Now that Phil Taylor and Ahtyba Rubin are both healthy and part of the rotation, we were able to see the depth the Browns touted at the beginning of the year. Billy Winn and John Hughes have shown tremendous ability and now form a formidable tackle group. In the last two games, the run defense has been tremendous, bringing the Browns to 19th overall against the run, which seems amazing given how bad the run defense has been over the years.
The linebackers, as a result of the defensive line, were able to play free and easy and it showed. D'Qwell Jackson was named defensive player of the week and I have no doubt the play of the defensive line helped him earn that. Yes, he forced a fumble and recovered another, but the line made it possible.
The line also helped the defensive backs, who aside from a bad pass interference penalty on Sheldon Brown at the end of the first half (turn around already; you're a veteran and can't get turned around?), played a pretty solid game. It's remarkable though how much of a difference Joe Haden makes when he's out there though. Brown made up for his gaffe by picking off Charlie Batch, as did Haden later in the game.
The defense forced 8 turnovers overall. There were 5 fumbles, including one by each of the four running backs and three interceptions. If the offense could've taken advantage of the turnovers more, it could've been a blowout, but they still were able to get 17 points off those turnovers. Last week it was a sack-fest, this week it was attack of the turnovers.
Sure, it was Charlie Batch throwing the ball, but a win over the Steelers still counts for something for most Browns fans. It meant something to the players as well, especially veterans who have often been on the wrong end of a beatdown at the hands of the Steelers. Sure, Ben Roethlisberger may have made a difference, but the Browns finally found a way to win and fans will take it.
Finally, the white blow-up towel debate was way overblown by fans and media alike. Look, I get it. It comes across as waving the white flag at your rival, but after seeing the picture of the flag, I can't understand why fans get so riled up. I know we are Cleveland fans and often need to be riled up about something, but this seemed to be a real stretch. I wait for the day when this team is a winner and people are complaining because we only won by 10 and should've won by 20.
No, I'm not talking about coaching this week. I don't think I can add anything that hasn't been said by anyone else.
I didn't get to watch the last game. I know, for shame. Given the spat I'm having with Time Warner and the lack of options at my current apartment (a story for another time), it may be a while before I can catch a game at home at this point. Such is life, right? That said, I followed enough of it during the game online and watched several highlight clips, therefore I'm qualifying myself educated enough to look back at the game.
Brandon Weeden wasn't awful, but he needs to get better fast if he wants to state his case to the new management team that he's the quarterback of the future. Right now, he's on shaky ground. He made a good throw to Jordan Cameron on the touchdown pass, but too often he's off the mark, reminding many of Derek Anderson, another strong-armed quarterback that flamed out quickly.
The receivers are getting better, so you can't pin Weeden's performance on them so much. Greg Little has gotten better with the drops, Josh Gordon has become a viable option, Josh Cooper (when active) has shown the ability to catch the ball, and Cameron has shown he could be an option as well. A good offseason could be the difference between taking a big step forward next year or middling along where they're at.
Trent Richardson gets a lot of flack for dancing in the backfield, but it just seems to me that it's more of an issue with the line not opening up holes for Richardson and the coaching staff not using him correctly (I get running between the tackles, I really do, but where are the pitchouts?). He also didn't have a preseason due to his knee injury and has missed time due to a rib injury as well. Despite that, he's on pace for over 1100 total yards, which isn't too shabby, especially with how inconsistent the offense has been.
The line gave up some sacks, but it has played substantially better since the Philadelphia game when they looked lost as a unit and Weeden had the stuffing beaten out of him. Pittsburgh's defense will cause sacks. They're that good. But for the most part, the protection was there.
The defensive line is starting to look like the strength of the team. Now that Phil Taylor and Ahtyba Rubin are both healthy and part of the rotation, we were able to see the depth the Browns touted at the beginning of the year. Billy Winn and John Hughes have shown tremendous ability and now form a formidable tackle group. In the last two games, the run defense has been tremendous, bringing the Browns to 19th overall against the run, which seems amazing given how bad the run defense has been over the years.
The linebackers, as a result of the defensive line, were able to play free and easy and it showed. D'Qwell Jackson was named defensive player of the week and I have no doubt the play of the defensive line helped him earn that. Yes, he forced a fumble and recovered another, but the line made it possible.
The line also helped the defensive backs, who aside from a bad pass interference penalty on Sheldon Brown at the end of the first half (turn around already; you're a veteran and can't get turned around?), played a pretty solid game. It's remarkable though how much of a difference Joe Haden makes when he's out there though. Brown made up for his gaffe by picking off Charlie Batch, as did Haden later in the game.
The defense forced 8 turnovers overall. There were 5 fumbles, including one by each of the four running backs and three interceptions. If the offense could've taken advantage of the turnovers more, it could've been a blowout, but they still were able to get 17 points off those turnovers. Last week it was a sack-fest, this week it was attack of the turnovers.
Sure, it was Charlie Batch throwing the ball, but a win over the Steelers still counts for something for most Browns fans. It meant something to the players as well, especially veterans who have often been on the wrong end of a beatdown at the hands of the Steelers. Sure, Ben Roethlisberger may have made a difference, but the Browns finally found a way to win and fans will take it.
Finally, the white blow-up towel debate was way overblown by fans and media alike. Look, I get it. It comes across as waving the white flag at your rival, but after seeing the picture of the flag, I can't understand why fans get so riled up. I know we are Cleveland fans and often need to be riled up about something, but this seemed to be a real stretch. I wait for the day when this team is a winner and people are complaining because we only won by 10 and should've won by 20.
No, I'm not talking about coaching this week. I don't think I can add anything that hasn't been said by anyone else.
Wednesday, November 21, 2012
The Sports Mixer - It's week 12 already?
Getting the post up late last week cost me a valuable pick-win. It's a mistake that won't (probably will) happen again.
In any case, it was a good week for picks, even if I missed badly on the San Fran game, but really, who saw their back-up quarterback having that kind of performance against the Bears defense? I sure didn't. I expected a low-scoring affair, but give the 49ers some credit for playing exceptionally well.
I also doubt many expected the Colts-Patriots game to get so out of hand as quickly as it did, but Andrew Luck was due to have a clunker. Might as well be at the hands of Bill Belichick, who seems to befuddle rookie quarterbacks more often than not. Luck was also on the receiving end of some bad, uh, luck in the game as well.
I think the most surprising thing was watching Jacksonville take Houston into overtime, hanging with the Texans step for step until the end when Andre Johnson finally broke away with the winning score. A week after the defense was incredible against the Bears, it was broken against the Jaguars and their backup quarterback, Chad Henne.
What will this week bring? Stay tuned and find out.
Thursday
Houston (9-1) at Detroit (4-6) - 12:30pm CBS
The Texans survived a scare at home last week. Matt Schaub and the offense played a spectacular game, but how in the world do you allow the Jaguars to rack up 37 points of offense while being led by their backup quarterback? What does this mean for them going forward? It means they had a bad game and I expect the defense to refocus and get it together with Megatron looming.
The Lions, I thought they were coming around, but then they laid an egg against the Vikings before having to deal with a red-hot Aaron Rodgers last week. Now they get the Texans, the best team in the AFC. Yes, they're at home, but I doubt it will matter much. No one has stepped up to take the pressure off of Calvin Johnson so teams just continue to double team him without worry.
Pick: Texans 27, Lions 17
Washington (4-6) at Dallas (5-5) - 4:15pm FOX
The Redskins are coming off an impressive performance against the Eagles, which really isn't saying much giving that the Eagles are about as competitive as a pop warner team right now (and that's a disservice to pop warner teams everywhere). But you can't deny how stellar Robert Griffin III's performance was in that game. Now he goes up against a better defense, but one that has some holes in it as the Browns showed last week.
Meanwhile, just how good can you feel in Dallas coming off a 23-20 overtime win over the Browns? Tony Romo was sacked seven times and the run game was still non-existent, a problem against better teams. The Redskins aren't a better team, but they'll give the Cowboys a heck of a fight regardless. It'll be interesting to see DeMarcus Ware try and track down RGIII though.
Pick: Cowboys 24, Redskins 21
New England (7-3) at NY Jets (4-6) - 8:20 NBC
The Patriots continue to roll offensively and make just enough plays defensively to be taken seriously as a contender. They're averaging almost 36 points a game, which is bolstered by two 50 point explosions, a 45 point outing, and several 30+ point totals as well. In other words, Tom Brady hasn't lost a step, which is scary for most teams.
The Jets are one of the few that put up a fight this year, surprisingly enough, losing in overtime in week 7. Mark Sanchez didn't play a great game last week, but he was much more efficient as the Jets had a much easier time with the Rams than anticipated in this corner. This matchup figures to be another close one as the Jets always seem to bring their best against the Patriots.
Pick: Patriots 30, Jets 26
Sunday
Minnesota (6-4) at Chicago (7-3) - 1pm FOX
The Vikings righted the ship two weeks ago with a surprisingly easy victory over the Lions, then had a bye week to prepare for the Bears who are suddenly reeling. I'm still not sold on the Vikings being a playoff team however, and I think this game will be a reminder of that fact. Sure, Adrian Peterson could go off, allowing Christian Ponder the time to throw the ball, but the Bears may be slightly testy following their disappearing act last week.
Speaking of the Bears, that was a putrid performance on Monday Night Football. Defensively, they stunk. Offensively, they were worse. Who knew Jay Cutler meant that much to the offense? In all honesty, when you rely on your defense to give you at least one score a game, sometimes more, and that doesn't happen with Jason Campbell running the show instead of Cutler behind that horrific offensive line, what did you expect to happen? The Sports Mixer obviously did not take this into consideration last week and missed on the pick because of that. I just can't see the Vikings pulling this off though. Is anyone on the Bears defense angry?
Pick: Bears 17, Vikings 13
Oakland (3-7) at Cincinnati (5-5) - 1pm CBS
The Raiders are such a mess defensively. Two weeks ago they allowed the Ravens to score at will and hit the 50 point mark, this past week they improved by only allowing 38 points. Carson Palmer hasn't been terrible for the Raiders, but he hasn't shown anything to justify the picks the Raiders gave up to get him either. They've fared well against AFC North opponents in recent years though, so there's a glimmer of hope Raider Nation.
The Bengals looked lost for a while there, losing three games in a row before suddenly coming out and beating down the Giants two weeks ago. Then they got the Chiefs, who are the gift that keeps on giving when it comes to facing other teams. Now they're back in the wild card picture, one game behind the wounded Steelers. While not a gimme, this is a game they should win.
Pick: Bengals 24, Raiders 12
Buffalo (4-6) at Indianapolis (6-4) - 1pm CBS
The Bills finally received the type of performance from their defense that they expected all season long. Mario Williams was a beast on the defensive line and the Bills kept the Dolphins in check from start to finish, although the offense was very lackluster. Ryan Fitzpatrick goes from being Dan Marino one series to Ryan Leaf the next and that has been one of the more frustrating aspects to an otherwise explosive offense.
The Colts and Andrew Luck were bound to have a bad game and the Patriots handed it to them last week. Now we get to see how the rookie quarterback responds to a bad outing against a defense that has been vulnerable at times to good passing offenses. More importantly, can the Colts defense shore up the weakness shown last week? The Colts have a great shot at making the playoffs, but they can't have any more clunkers.
Pick: Colts 34, Bills 30
Denver (7-3) at Kansas City (1-9) - 1pm CBS
Is there any team hotter than the Broncos right now? After spotting the Chargers an early lead, Peyton Manning wrestled the lead back and led the Broncos to a 30-23 victory that solidified their hold on the division. Now comes the divisional doormats, the Chiefs, who can barely hold a lead, much less win a game anymore. A week after playing the Steelers to the bitter end, the Chiefs came out flat against the Bengals and never were in the game.
This game would normally be an upset alert, but the Chiefs have been so bad this year that I can't possibly consider them for that position until they string two semi-positive performances in a row. I don't think this will be that game. In fact, this game could get ugly before the first quarter is over, something I know Chiefs fans hope isn't the case.
Pick: Broncos 34, Chiefs 13
Seattle (6-4) at Miami (4-6) - 1pm FOX
The Seahawks have been the type of team when I pick them, they lose, when I don't, they win. Russel Wilson has been outstanding at home, but hasn't been so good on the road. What makes this game difficult to pick is how bad Miami has looked the last couple of weeks.
They were embarrassed two weeks ago by the Titans, then couldn't get anything going last week against a Bills defense that had underachieved most of the season. This is a big game for Ryan Tannehill and Reggie Bush. They need to get it together and give fans reason to believe that this team is heading in the right direction.
Pick: Seahawks 19, Dolphins 17
Atlanta (9-1) at Tampa Bay (6-4) - 1pm FOX
The Falcons have lived on the edge all season long and I don't see any reason this week will be different against the upstart Buccaneers. Matt Ryan has been good, but the team seems to constantly be playing from behind no matter who they play. Against lesser teams this has been good enough, but at some point it's going to bite them like it did against the Saints.
The Bucs are that scrappy team that no one wants to face right now. Josh Freeman seems to have the ability to play as poorly as possible for a good portion of the game, then suddenly become the best quarterback to ever play the game as he pulls the Bucs from the brink of defeat to win once again. I want to believe that the Bucs can pull the upset, but Ryan and the Falcons just have the poise needed to win close games.
Pick: Falcons 35, Buccaneers 31
Tennessee (4-6) at Jacksonville (1-9) - 1pm CBS
This is the type of game that favors the Titans, a team that has underwhelmed most of the season while attempting to develop Jake Locker. Chris Johnson at times has looked like the guy who ran for over 2,000 yards a few years back, but he's also had games where he's been unable to get anything going. The defense, with one notable exception against Miami, has been awful.
The Jaguars had an offensive explosion last week, but with how their season has gone, is it any surprise that they scored 37 points and lost? Blaine Gabbert is now gone for the season, which for some Jags fans is a sign of mercy. He'd shown little improvement in his second year and the Jags have just not had any consistency on offense. Sure Justin Blackmon has come on of late, but unless he has a moster final 6 games, he will be a disappointment.
Pick: Titans 31, Jaguars 28
Baltimore (8-2) at San Diego (4-6) - 4:05pm CBS
The Ravens won an ugly game against the Steelers last week, a game that featured 23 total points and a knockout of the Steelers' backup, Byron Leftwich. Now the Ravens travel to San Diego where the talented but flawed Chargers wait. Will the Ravens finally unleash Ray Rice and balance the offense? Or will they continue to try and insist on Joe Flacco beating everyone?
The Chargers are beyond lost at this point. Philip Rivers just doesn't seem to be the same guy this year and the team is constantly giving up chunks of yards and points. They can get a lead, but they can't put their opponent away and have yet to recover from their earlier meltdown when they led 24-0, only to lose to the Broncos by ten. This team is going nowhere fast.
Pick: Ravens 27, Chargers 17
San Francisco (7-2-1) at New Orleans (5-5) - 4:25pm FOX
Certainly this is one of the matchups of the week, the 49ers are coming off a stunning beatdown of the Chicago Bears, but now must travel to the Superdome to face the Saints, who have suddenly become the hottest team in the NFL. The 49ers showed a more explosive offense under Colin Kaepernick, who threw the ball well enough to cause their coach to say they might have to play both quarterbacks once Alex Smith is healthy.
The Saints are humming still on offense. Drew Brees and company just put up 38 points on the Raiders, which isn't much considering what the Raiders gave up the week before, but they only allowed 17 points, which is a vast improvement. The defense overall has been somewhat better since the return of Jonathan Vilma. Can they score on the 49ers and slow down the Kaepernick machine? I think so.
Pick: Saints 27, 49ers 24
St. Louis (3-6-1) at Arizona (4-6) - 4:25pm - FOX
The Rams have been such an up and down team. One week after playing the 49ers to a tie on the road, the Rams decide not to show up against the Jets in an uninspiring performance. Now they have to go to Arizona to face another underwhelming team, the Cardinals, who can't decide who's going to get beat up behind their offensive line.
The Cardinals might have the worst offensive line in the history of the NFL. It really doesn't matter who they put behind center; it's almost a guarantee that they're going to get knocked out of the game relatively quickly. I wouldn't be surprised if they were holding auditions by week 14 with all their quarterbacks on injured reserve.
Pick: Rams 17, Cardinals 13
Green Bay (7-3) at NY Giants (6-4) - 8:20 NBC
The Packers are finally playing like most thought they would at the start of the season, racking up points and victories as they attempt to take control of the NFC North. With the Bears dealing with injuries, this is the perfect time for the Packers to take control and move into first place.
The Giants should be angry. Two weeks ago they were 6-2 and being lauded as a top-tier team in the NFC. Now there are questions about how good they really are and if they can even make the playoffs. The Cowboys are now a game behind and a couple of weeks from now, it could be the opposite unless the Giants get it together. This is a tough week to do it in though.
Pick: Packers 34, Giants 20
Monday
Carolina (2-8) at Philadelphia (3-7) - 8:30pm ESPN
The Panthers could easily have won four or five games this season, but have given away a bunch of games due to bad decisions by both players and coaches. Now they travel to Philadelphia to take on the Eagles, who have become a virtual sideshow in the NFL circus. Nick Foles heard the cries of fans everywhere, and promptly played as poorly as one could play in place of Michael Vick. When the problem is a line that can't pass block, it doesn't matter who's back there. Now if they only had a good running back to take the load off their quarterbacks...Wait.
The Panthers could and should win this game. The Eagles have no business winning this game and are in desperate need of a leader to step up and say enough is enough. I don't see that happening, therefore I don't see a win.
Pick: Panthers 23, Eagles 12
Browns Game
Pittsburgh (6-4) at Cleveland (2-8) - 1pm CBS
The Steelers are coming off a tough loss and are in a difficult spot; trying to win football games with Charlie Batch now that both Ben Roethlisberger and Byron Leftwich are out with injuries. This is one banged up team, but they probably feel solace in that they're facing the Browns, the most dysfunctional team in the NFL at this point. Still, without their top offensive and defensive players, it's going to be hard to come by a win against a team that has fought to the bitter end most weeks.
The Browns are another team that could easily have five or six wins at this point. Instead, they are 2-8 and facing abundant questions about their future in many areas. A win this week would soothe a lot of fans feelings, but it would have to be a convincing win. Trent Richardson needs to stop dancing and run through the hole. Brandon Weeden needs to cut down the mistakes and rediscover the deep ball that has eluded him of late. The defense just needs to stop people. They can do it, but they have to put forth 60 minutes of effort for once.
Pick: Browns 27, Steelers 19
Last week: 11-2
Overall: 81-29-1
In any case, it was a good week for picks, even if I missed badly on the San Fran game, but really, who saw their back-up quarterback having that kind of performance against the Bears defense? I sure didn't. I expected a low-scoring affair, but give the 49ers some credit for playing exceptionally well.
I also doubt many expected the Colts-Patriots game to get so out of hand as quickly as it did, but Andrew Luck was due to have a clunker. Might as well be at the hands of Bill Belichick, who seems to befuddle rookie quarterbacks more often than not. Luck was also on the receiving end of some bad, uh, luck in the game as well.
I think the most surprising thing was watching Jacksonville take Houston into overtime, hanging with the Texans step for step until the end when Andre Johnson finally broke away with the winning score. A week after the defense was incredible against the Bears, it was broken against the Jaguars and their backup quarterback, Chad Henne.
What will this week bring? Stay tuned and find out.
Thursday
Houston (9-1) at Detroit (4-6) - 12:30pm CBS
The Texans survived a scare at home last week. Matt Schaub and the offense played a spectacular game, but how in the world do you allow the Jaguars to rack up 37 points of offense while being led by their backup quarterback? What does this mean for them going forward? It means they had a bad game and I expect the defense to refocus and get it together with Megatron looming.
The Lions, I thought they were coming around, but then they laid an egg against the Vikings before having to deal with a red-hot Aaron Rodgers last week. Now they get the Texans, the best team in the AFC. Yes, they're at home, but I doubt it will matter much. No one has stepped up to take the pressure off of Calvin Johnson so teams just continue to double team him without worry.
Pick: Texans 27, Lions 17
Washington (4-6) at Dallas (5-5) - 4:15pm FOX
The Redskins are coming off an impressive performance against the Eagles, which really isn't saying much giving that the Eagles are about as competitive as a pop warner team right now (and that's a disservice to pop warner teams everywhere). But you can't deny how stellar Robert Griffin III's performance was in that game. Now he goes up against a better defense, but one that has some holes in it as the Browns showed last week.
Meanwhile, just how good can you feel in Dallas coming off a 23-20 overtime win over the Browns? Tony Romo was sacked seven times and the run game was still non-existent, a problem against better teams. The Redskins aren't a better team, but they'll give the Cowboys a heck of a fight regardless. It'll be interesting to see DeMarcus Ware try and track down RGIII though.
Pick: Cowboys 24, Redskins 21
New England (7-3) at NY Jets (4-6) - 8:20 NBC
The Patriots continue to roll offensively and make just enough plays defensively to be taken seriously as a contender. They're averaging almost 36 points a game, which is bolstered by two 50 point explosions, a 45 point outing, and several 30+ point totals as well. In other words, Tom Brady hasn't lost a step, which is scary for most teams.
The Jets are one of the few that put up a fight this year, surprisingly enough, losing in overtime in week 7. Mark Sanchez didn't play a great game last week, but he was much more efficient as the Jets had a much easier time with the Rams than anticipated in this corner. This matchup figures to be another close one as the Jets always seem to bring their best against the Patriots.
Pick: Patriots 30, Jets 26
Sunday
Minnesota (6-4) at Chicago (7-3) - 1pm FOX
The Vikings righted the ship two weeks ago with a surprisingly easy victory over the Lions, then had a bye week to prepare for the Bears who are suddenly reeling. I'm still not sold on the Vikings being a playoff team however, and I think this game will be a reminder of that fact. Sure, Adrian Peterson could go off, allowing Christian Ponder the time to throw the ball, but the Bears may be slightly testy following their disappearing act last week.
Speaking of the Bears, that was a putrid performance on Monday Night Football. Defensively, they stunk. Offensively, they were worse. Who knew Jay Cutler meant that much to the offense? In all honesty, when you rely on your defense to give you at least one score a game, sometimes more, and that doesn't happen with Jason Campbell running the show instead of Cutler behind that horrific offensive line, what did you expect to happen? The Sports Mixer obviously did not take this into consideration last week and missed on the pick because of that. I just can't see the Vikings pulling this off though. Is anyone on the Bears defense angry?
Pick: Bears 17, Vikings 13
Oakland (3-7) at Cincinnati (5-5) - 1pm CBS
The Raiders are such a mess defensively. Two weeks ago they allowed the Ravens to score at will and hit the 50 point mark, this past week they improved by only allowing 38 points. Carson Palmer hasn't been terrible for the Raiders, but he hasn't shown anything to justify the picks the Raiders gave up to get him either. They've fared well against AFC North opponents in recent years though, so there's a glimmer of hope Raider Nation.
The Bengals looked lost for a while there, losing three games in a row before suddenly coming out and beating down the Giants two weeks ago. Then they got the Chiefs, who are the gift that keeps on giving when it comes to facing other teams. Now they're back in the wild card picture, one game behind the wounded Steelers. While not a gimme, this is a game they should win.
Pick: Bengals 24, Raiders 12
Buffalo (4-6) at Indianapolis (6-4) - 1pm CBS
The Bills finally received the type of performance from their defense that they expected all season long. Mario Williams was a beast on the defensive line and the Bills kept the Dolphins in check from start to finish, although the offense was very lackluster. Ryan Fitzpatrick goes from being Dan Marino one series to Ryan Leaf the next and that has been one of the more frustrating aspects to an otherwise explosive offense.
The Colts and Andrew Luck were bound to have a bad game and the Patriots handed it to them last week. Now we get to see how the rookie quarterback responds to a bad outing against a defense that has been vulnerable at times to good passing offenses. More importantly, can the Colts defense shore up the weakness shown last week? The Colts have a great shot at making the playoffs, but they can't have any more clunkers.
Pick: Colts 34, Bills 30
Denver (7-3) at Kansas City (1-9) - 1pm CBS
Is there any team hotter than the Broncos right now? After spotting the Chargers an early lead, Peyton Manning wrestled the lead back and led the Broncos to a 30-23 victory that solidified their hold on the division. Now comes the divisional doormats, the Chiefs, who can barely hold a lead, much less win a game anymore. A week after playing the Steelers to the bitter end, the Chiefs came out flat against the Bengals and never were in the game.
This game would normally be an upset alert, but the Chiefs have been so bad this year that I can't possibly consider them for that position until they string two semi-positive performances in a row. I don't think this will be that game. In fact, this game could get ugly before the first quarter is over, something I know Chiefs fans hope isn't the case.
Pick: Broncos 34, Chiefs 13
Seattle (6-4) at Miami (4-6) - 1pm FOX
The Seahawks have been the type of team when I pick them, they lose, when I don't, they win. Russel Wilson has been outstanding at home, but hasn't been so good on the road. What makes this game difficult to pick is how bad Miami has looked the last couple of weeks.
They were embarrassed two weeks ago by the Titans, then couldn't get anything going last week against a Bills defense that had underachieved most of the season. This is a big game for Ryan Tannehill and Reggie Bush. They need to get it together and give fans reason to believe that this team is heading in the right direction.
Pick: Seahawks 19, Dolphins 17
Atlanta (9-1) at Tampa Bay (6-4) - 1pm FOX
The Falcons have lived on the edge all season long and I don't see any reason this week will be different against the upstart Buccaneers. Matt Ryan has been good, but the team seems to constantly be playing from behind no matter who they play. Against lesser teams this has been good enough, but at some point it's going to bite them like it did against the Saints.
The Bucs are that scrappy team that no one wants to face right now. Josh Freeman seems to have the ability to play as poorly as possible for a good portion of the game, then suddenly become the best quarterback to ever play the game as he pulls the Bucs from the brink of defeat to win once again. I want to believe that the Bucs can pull the upset, but Ryan and the Falcons just have the poise needed to win close games.
Pick: Falcons 35, Buccaneers 31
Tennessee (4-6) at Jacksonville (1-9) - 1pm CBS
This is the type of game that favors the Titans, a team that has underwhelmed most of the season while attempting to develop Jake Locker. Chris Johnson at times has looked like the guy who ran for over 2,000 yards a few years back, but he's also had games where he's been unable to get anything going. The defense, with one notable exception against Miami, has been awful.
The Jaguars had an offensive explosion last week, but with how their season has gone, is it any surprise that they scored 37 points and lost? Blaine Gabbert is now gone for the season, which for some Jags fans is a sign of mercy. He'd shown little improvement in his second year and the Jags have just not had any consistency on offense. Sure Justin Blackmon has come on of late, but unless he has a moster final 6 games, he will be a disappointment.
Pick: Titans 31, Jaguars 28
Baltimore (8-2) at San Diego (4-6) - 4:05pm CBS
The Ravens won an ugly game against the Steelers last week, a game that featured 23 total points and a knockout of the Steelers' backup, Byron Leftwich. Now the Ravens travel to San Diego where the talented but flawed Chargers wait. Will the Ravens finally unleash Ray Rice and balance the offense? Or will they continue to try and insist on Joe Flacco beating everyone?
The Chargers are beyond lost at this point. Philip Rivers just doesn't seem to be the same guy this year and the team is constantly giving up chunks of yards and points. They can get a lead, but they can't put their opponent away and have yet to recover from their earlier meltdown when they led 24-0, only to lose to the Broncos by ten. This team is going nowhere fast.
Pick: Ravens 27, Chargers 17
San Francisco (7-2-1) at New Orleans (5-5) - 4:25pm FOX
Certainly this is one of the matchups of the week, the 49ers are coming off a stunning beatdown of the Chicago Bears, but now must travel to the Superdome to face the Saints, who have suddenly become the hottest team in the NFL. The 49ers showed a more explosive offense under Colin Kaepernick, who threw the ball well enough to cause their coach to say they might have to play both quarterbacks once Alex Smith is healthy.
The Saints are humming still on offense. Drew Brees and company just put up 38 points on the Raiders, which isn't much considering what the Raiders gave up the week before, but they only allowed 17 points, which is a vast improvement. The defense overall has been somewhat better since the return of Jonathan Vilma. Can they score on the 49ers and slow down the Kaepernick machine? I think so.
Pick: Saints 27, 49ers 24
St. Louis (3-6-1) at Arizona (4-6) - 4:25pm - FOX
The Rams have been such an up and down team. One week after playing the 49ers to a tie on the road, the Rams decide not to show up against the Jets in an uninspiring performance. Now they have to go to Arizona to face another underwhelming team, the Cardinals, who can't decide who's going to get beat up behind their offensive line.
The Cardinals might have the worst offensive line in the history of the NFL. It really doesn't matter who they put behind center; it's almost a guarantee that they're going to get knocked out of the game relatively quickly. I wouldn't be surprised if they were holding auditions by week 14 with all their quarterbacks on injured reserve.
Pick: Rams 17, Cardinals 13
Green Bay (7-3) at NY Giants (6-4) - 8:20 NBC
The Packers are finally playing like most thought they would at the start of the season, racking up points and victories as they attempt to take control of the NFC North. With the Bears dealing with injuries, this is the perfect time for the Packers to take control and move into first place.
The Giants should be angry. Two weeks ago they were 6-2 and being lauded as a top-tier team in the NFC. Now there are questions about how good they really are and if they can even make the playoffs. The Cowboys are now a game behind and a couple of weeks from now, it could be the opposite unless the Giants get it together. This is a tough week to do it in though.
Pick: Packers 34, Giants 20
Monday
Carolina (2-8) at Philadelphia (3-7) - 8:30pm ESPN
The Panthers could easily have won four or five games this season, but have given away a bunch of games due to bad decisions by both players and coaches. Now they travel to Philadelphia to take on the Eagles, who have become a virtual sideshow in the NFL circus. Nick Foles heard the cries of fans everywhere, and promptly played as poorly as one could play in place of Michael Vick. When the problem is a line that can't pass block, it doesn't matter who's back there. Now if they only had a good running back to take the load off their quarterbacks...Wait.
The Panthers could and should win this game. The Eagles have no business winning this game and are in desperate need of a leader to step up and say enough is enough. I don't see that happening, therefore I don't see a win.
Pick: Panthers 23, Eagles 12
Browns Game
Pittsburgh (6-4) at Cleveland (2-8) - 1pm CBS
The Steelers are coming off a tough loss and are in a difficult spot; trying to win football games with Charlie Batch now that both Ben Roethlisberger and Byron Leftwich are out with injuries. This is one banged up team, but they probably feel solace in that they're facing the Browns, the most dysfunctional team in the NFL at this point. Still, without their top offensive and defensive players, it's going to be hard to come by a win against a team that has fought to the bitter end most weeks.
The Browns are another team that could easily have five or six wins at this point. Instead, they are 2-8 and facing abundant questions about their future in many areas. A win this week would soothe a lot of fans feelings, but it would have to be a convincing win. Trent Richardson needs to stop dancing and run through the hole. Brandon Weeden needs to cut down the mistakes and rediscover the deep ball that has eluded him of late. The defense just needs to stop people. They can do it, but they have to put forth 60 minutes of effort for once.
Pick: Browns 27, Steelers 19
Last week: 11-2
Overall: 81-29-1
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